The Playground

  • 4. Virulence – Here is where there is good news. Omicron is proving to cause less severe disease compared to previous variants. There is epidemiological evidence of this in lower hospitalization rates compared to new cases. There is also a drop in the Case Fatality Rate with Omicron. However, there are many confounders in this data, including higher population immunity, younger age groups being infected, and higher incidental Covid-19 hospitalized cases. However, this recent preprint out of Ontario, Canada performed a matched cohort study. After adjustment for vaccination status and other variables, the risk of hospitalization or death was 54% lower for Omicron vs Delta (HR=0.46, 95%CI: 0.27-0.77).

    Taking this at face value, what we now have is a disease 30% less severe than was original COVID (delta was a bit worse than original), with little vaccine protection, which we have no hope of stopping getting everywhere :(


    But actually things MAY be better than that:


    (1) We are sure that vaccine protection against severe omicron infection remains quite a bit - there is T cell enhancement as well as nAbs, and although the nAbs are less good, and only helpful for 10 weeks or so after booster, the T cell immunity will continue.

    (2) Given the different infection mechanism it may be that ICU severe disease is relatively less likley than hospitalisation severe disease. But we do not know yet.


    Systems are slow to adapt.


    So with original COVID initially everyone felt it was like Flu, no point inn trying to stop it - till from necessity they tries and found they could.

    Now we are conditioned to trying to stop it (for heath service survival - rather than for individual survival). But AO (after omicron) that will stop.

    The reason for still doing it during omicron is because the more we can flatten the super-fast omicron spike the more limited ICU capacity can cope.


    THH

  • Omicron will not be stopped by the redline test...just slowed down

    Sensitivity/ is low for asymptomatic infected.?

    compared to symptomatic....plenty of false negatives.

    The thing is, the most vulnerable can reasonably be shielded, and LFD tests before meeting them (and again every 24 or better 12 hours while with them if exposed any time in previous 7 days) is the way to do this.


    As with Flu, it is quite possible if careful not to catch it and for some that will be the smartest option.


    THH

  • Why African countries with onchocerciasis ivermectin programs show much better COVID-19 results?


    Why African countries with onchocerciasis ivermectin programs show much better COVID-19 results?
    Note that views expressed in this opinion article are the writer’s personal views and not necessarily those of TrialSite.by Juan ChamieUp to date, there
    trialsitenews.com


    by Juan Chamie


    Up to date, there are sixteen ivermectin studies on covid as prophylaxis. All of them validate the effectiveness in preventing a symptomatic disease.[i] The studies also underline a positive dose-response relationship. The results range from near 100% effectiveness in weekly doses to 50% in the 42-day period following a single dose. As onchocerciasis program comprises one dose every half-year, it is reasonable to think that the protection doesn’t last that long. A deeper look could give us a better understanding.


    In March 2021, Japanese researchers published a study about African countries and Ivermectin on Covid-19. [ii] In the study, the authors evaluate COVID-19 outcomes in African regions. They split the countries into two groups: A group of countries with ivermectin programs to fight onchocerciasis, and another group with the remaining countries. As an aggregate, countries with the program have had a small fraction of Covid cases and deaths than the aggregation of countries without interventions. After ruling out the age disparities, the authors concluded: “treatment with ivermectin is the most reasonable explanation”.


    Undoubtedly, age is a vital factor in COVID-19 outcomes, but it is not the only one. There are other aspects to consider and cancel out before concluding in favor of ivermectin. We know more testing means more cases. Were there fewer tests in the “ivermectin group”? We know that winter affects the outbreaks, are winter in the “ivermectin group” milder? Should we analyze international travelers? Should we examine the medical system or cultural traditions?



    Testing strategy drive case and death count

    Covid testing has been the known method of counting cases and deaths but is not reasonable to compare countries when testing strategies differ. Regions with extensive testing and modest incidence can detect much more cases than a modest testing with mounting incidence. The analysis of the number of tests and the positivity presents a much accurate view. Positivity could be a reliable indicator of the virus prevalence at a moment in time. Looking at the data, the vast disparity in testing can explain the considerably larger case and death count in “non-ivermectin countries” like South Africa, Tunisia, or Morocco. It is even more telling within the groups, countries in with a similar level of testing show similar levels of cases. That means that a difference in testing is a substantial driver of the lower-case incidence in the “ivermectin group.” As an illustration, Morocco has eight times more cases than Uganda, but six times more tests. South Africa that has twenty times more cases than Nigeria, but eighteen times more testing.


    It is a common practice that in regions with limited tests, people with symptoms are the priority. Therefore, positivity reveals an acceptable covid share among those with flu-like symptoms. In regions with low testing like Africa, positivity rate might operate as a predictor of cases in the same way sera-prevalence samples predict population level antibodies. On average, the positivity in the “non-ivermectin group” has been 50% higher than the “ivermectin group” (10% vs 7%.) This difference supports the idea of better outcomes in the “ivermectin group” even after excluding the impact of the difference in the number of tests. There are certainly more factors, and they could be one.



    Other factors

    Traditional Chinese Medicine and Ayurveda are well-known Asian medical systems. Likewise, Sub-Saharan had maintained ancient medical traditions or “bush medicine.” Their knowledge comprises the use of natural medicine and techniques developed through thousands of years of treating various diseases.


    A suitable example is the wisdom shared by the African slave Onesimus in 1721. He taught how to prevent smallpox in Boston USA, and his knowledge led to vaccine development. [iii] This same ancient science holds dengue epidemics under control in Africa. Natural medicine is in wide use in Sub-Saharan Africa where doctors per capita is at least 4 times less than South Africa’s or that countries in Northern Africa. Ancient natural medicine it is another determinant factor in pandemic management.


    The weather and the tourism played their role too. In Africa, Winter only affects Northern and Southern countries.[iv] All “ivermectin countries” are in Central Africa where temperature averages are above 70 F (20 C). The lack of winter also influenced a lower incidence in Central Africa. As international travelers drove covid, tourism is an important factor. Unsurprisingly, the number of arrivals in “ivermectin countries” is about 10 times fewer that the one in Northern Africa or in South Africa.[v] Then, international arrivals also influenced the lower Covid incidence in Central Africa.


    Conclusion

    Ivermectin interventions to treat parasites might have influenced COVID-19 outcomes in Central Africa, but they aren’t the leading driver. Other various factors better explain the difference in the aggregate results. The primary explanation is testing. The correlation between tests and cases or deaths is very strong. Other factors, like the use of natural medicine, the lack of winter, and the number of international arrivals, also played a fundamental role.


    [i] https://ivmmeta.com/


    [ii] https://www.medrxiv.org/conten…03.26.21254377v1.full.pdf


    [iii] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Onesimus_(Bostonian)


    [iv] https://sage.nelson.wisc.edu/d…the-biosphere/ecosystems/


    [v] https://www.indexmundi.com/facts/indicators/ST.INT.ARVL

  • Covid-19: Common cold may give some protection, study suggests


    Colds may give some Covid protection - study - BBC News
    Researchers say immune cells made to defend the body against some colds could help stave off Covid.
    www.bbc.com


    Natural defences against a common cold could offer some protection against Covid-19, too, research suggests.


    The small-scale study, published in Nature Communications, involved 52 individuals who lived with someone who had just caught Covid-19.


    Those who had developed a "memory bank" of specific immune cells after a cold - to help prevent future attacks - appeared less likely to get Covid.


    Experts say no-one should rely on this defence alone, and vaccines remain key.


    But they believe their findings could provide useful insight into how a body's defence system fights the virus.


    Covid-19 is caused by a type of coronavirus, and some colds are caused by other coronaviruses - so scientists have wondered whether immunity against one might help with the other.


    But the experts caution that it would be a "grave mistake" to think that anyone who had recently had a cold was automatically protected against Covid-19 - as not all are caused by coronaviruses.


    The Imperial College London team wanted to understand better why some people catch Covid after being exposed to the virus and others do not.


    'New vaccine approach'

    They focused their study on a crucial part of the body' s immune system - T-cells.


    Some of these T-cells kill any cells infected by a specific threat - for example, a cold virus.


    And, once the cold has gone, some T-cells remain in the body as a memory bank, ready to mount a defence when they next encounter the virus.


    In September 2020, researchers studied 52 people who had not yet been vaccinated but who lived with people who had just tested positive for Covid-19.


    Half the group went on to get Covid during the 28-day study period and half did not.


    A third of the people who did not catch Covid were found to have high levels of specific memory T-cells in their blood.


    These were likely to have been created when the body had been infected with another closely-related human coronavirus - most frequently, a common cold, they say.


    Researchers accept other variables - such as ventilation and how infectious their household contact was - would have an impact on whether people caught the virus, too.


    Dr Simon Clarke, at the University of Reading, said although this was a relatively small study, it added to the understanding of how our immune system fights the virus and could help with future vaccines.


    He added: "These data should not be over-interpreted. It seems unlikely that everyone who has died or had a more serious infection, has never had a cold caused by a coronavirus.


    "And it could be a grave mistake to think that anyone who has recently had a cold is protected against Covid-19, as coronaviruses only account for 10-15% of colds."


    Professor Ajit Lalvani, senior author of the study, agreed vaccines were key to protection.


    He added: "Learning from what the body does right could help inform the design of new vaccines."


    Current vaccines specifically target spike proteins that sit on the outside of the virus, but those spike proteins can change with new variants.


    But the body's T-cells target internal virus proteins, which do not change as much from variant to variant, meaning vaccines harnessing the work of T-cells more closely could provide broader, longer-lasting protection against Covid, he said.

  • Across the Nation COVID-19 Positive Health Care Workers Back on the Job! ‘Stranger Things’


    Across the Nation COVID-19 Positive Health Care Workers Back on the Job! ‘Stranger Things’
    In what continues to represent a strange, almost surreal situation, due to severe health care worker shortages, various health systems and states are
    trialsitenews.com


    In what continues to represent a strange, almost surreal situation, due to severe health care worker shortages, various health systems and states are allowing COVID-19 positive staff back to work if they are A) vaccinated and B) asymptomatic. Made possible thanks to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s (CDC) recent guidance, the government at the federal and state levels now embrace a far different risk-based approach to managing the pandemic. The Biden administration was warned not to enforce the federal COVID-19 vaccine mandate because it would exponentially exacerbate an already dire worker shortage— they didn’t heed the warning and now the situation is much worse. Hence, the CDC, due to the crisis and imminently contagious Omicron variant of concern, offered guidance to help alleviate the stress and strains from the labor shortages. But what about the fact that those infected, even if fully vaccinated and asymptomatic can potentially still transmit the virus? A nursing association in California isn’t happy.


    In what can only be described as “Stranger Things,” due to the vaccine mandates, tens of thousands of healthcare professionals either quit or were terminated—in many cases with natural immunity. This has led to severe shortages in at least some hospitals and clinics. Good professionals that were committed to patients were thrown out of their profession for resisting the novel vaccines from either Pfizer, Moderna, or Janssen (Johnson & Johnson).


    Now the California Department of Public Health issued new guidelines over the weekend for Golden State hospitals in a bid to ensure sufficient staff are available.


    Now a healthcare worker that is infected and tests positive for COVID-19 no longer must isolate or test negative to return to the clinic! They can return to work immediately if they are vaccinated and asymptomatic, even if still positive with SARS-CoV-2.



    But assuming the health worker is still positive, even if asymptomatic, there is a chance they could still transmit the disease. The new guideline, effective Feb 1. represents a sort of insult to many who had various reasons for not opting for vaccination, including those that were previously infected by COVID-19 and have antibodies.


    This trend is occurring across the country, as the move by POTUS led to unacceptably shortages in many healthcare facilities.


    A ‘Grave Mistake’?

    According to Sandy Reding, president of the California Nurses Association, the move is a “Grave mistake that puts patients at risk.” As a last resort, perhaps driven by desperation, the science associated with COVID-19 appears only loosely followed when convenient for bureaucratic institutions at the state and federal levels.


    Ms. Reding declared, “We are very concerned,” she said. “If you have health care workers who are COVID positive care for vulnerable populations, we can spread the COVID virus inside the hospital as well.” Reported across multiple media, NBC Bay Area received a reason from the California Department of Public Health:


    “The department is providing temporary flexibility to help hospitals and emergency services providers respond to an unprecedented surge and staffing shortages. Hospitals have to exhaust all other options before resorting to this temporary tool. Facilities and providers using this tool should have asymptomatic COVID-19 positive workers interact only with COVID-19 positive patients to the extent possible.


    Wear a N95

    Meanwhile, state health officials have gone on the record stating that to mitigate risk, the COVID-19 positive health workers who are back to work would need to wear N-95 masks.


    Not unprecedented?

    In the NBC entry, Dr. Georg Rutherford, UCSF Epidemiology Professor went on the record declaring that while “surprising,” the move isn’t “unprecedented,” referring to a situation in South African with Ebola. Yet Redding retorted that the state bureaucracy should be working to help increase the number of healthcare workers rather than exposing non-infected health care staff and patients.


    Thanks to the CDC

    With severe hospital shortages across the nation, the CDC issued a contingency emergency guidance that, among other things, paved the way for the existing situation allowing hospitals to bring back doctors and nurses even if they tested positive for COVID-19! Despite the fact that typically, in a clinical setting health care workers would be precluded from entering work with such a contagious virus, these are not normal times—in fact Trial Site suggests these are ‘Stranger Days.’


    CA Health Care Workers Raise Concerns Over New State COVID-19 Protocols

    CA Health Care Workers Raise Concerns Over New State COVID-19 Protocols
    The California Department of Public Health now says health care worker that test positive for COVID-19 can return to work immediately if they have no symptoms
    www.nbcbayarea.com

  • Entertaining discussion on ECW on the wildly guessed energy source of the famous new Ecat SKLep…seems a new Axil Axil is born 😅


    vibrator !  dusa 2 hours ago

    QED's central catechism is vacuum-produced gauge-boson mediators exchanging ambient quantum momentum (h-bar) between interacting masses, charges or spins (as opposed to these force carriers being emitted or absorbed by interacting particles themselves). That is, electric charges do not 'interact', and nor do masses, but via the intermediary of these trades of quantised ambient momentum spontaneously produced on-demand from vacuum, at fixed time rates of change as set by eg. the gravitational constant or the EM / fine-structure constant, alpha. Thus momentum and energy symmetry of such interactions is dependent on time/velocity symmetry of inbound vs outbound legs of a closed-loop interaction. If this time-symmetry is broken, closed-loops through static fields yield non-zero net momenta. Accumulation of such momenta at fixed unit energy cost is an inherently OU process, placing the input energy workload in a divergent inertial frame, resulting in energy gains equal to the half-square of the 'velocity' component of the anomalous momentum delta.

    Besides, there's a whole variety of Casimir-type effects you've neglected

  • Covid-19: Common cold may give some protection, study suggests

    This has been shown 2 years ago already. Fact is: 15..30% of the population are immune to CoV-19. 10-15% of the common colds are caused by classic corona virus. This is one half of it.

    But there is even better protection due to RNA inference of genetically stored patterns. These genetically protected people simply cannot get sick from COV-19 as the RNA immunity will simply cut any virus RNA into pieces.

  • Entertaining discussion on ECW on the wildly guessed energy source of the famous new Ecat SKLep…seems a new Axil Axil is born 😅


    vibrator !  dusa 2 hours ago

    QED's central catechism is vacuum-produced gauge-boson mediators exchanging ambient quantum momentum (h-bar) between interacting masses, charges or spins (as opposed to these force carriers being emitted or absorbed by interacting particles themselves). That is, electric charges do not 'interact', and nor do masses, but via the intermediary of these trades of quantised ambient momentum spontaneously produced on-demand from vacuum, at fixed time rates of change as set by eg. the gravitational constant or the EM / fine-structure constant, alpha. Thus momentum and energy symmetry of such interactions is dependent on time/velocity symmetry of inbound vs outbound legs of a closed-loop interaction. If this time-symmetry is broken, closed-loops through static fields yield non-zero net momenta. Accumulation of such momenta at fixed unit energy cost is an inherently OU process, placing the input energy workload in a divergent inertial frame, resulting in energy gains equal to the half-square of the 'velocity' component of the anomalous momentum delta.

    Besides, there's a whole variety of Casimir-type effects you've neglected

    Eventually they may realize that the true energy source is in their minds, and there isn’t enough to light an LED in most cases

  • The Omicron cleanup is going on! ICU load is going back everywhere despite cases are up at least 10x.

    Western Vaccines except J&J do not at all help for Omicron but luckily it is also not needed for Omicron.


    Israel shows: All people get infected independent of vaccine statues. Good news. Omicron causes less ADE than Delta for Pfizer victims. Reason Pfizer antibodies are to far off to work.

    Bad news: The increase in ICU over the last week cases is 80% from boostered people!


    The real problem is that 85% of the population will get Omicron and the old quarantine rules simply are crazy for omicron that simply is a classic cold!

    Be aware that also the classic corona cold can be deadly!


    There are still some remaining's of delta around, what make it difficult for a proper action/reaction.

  • The Ivermectin study in Brazil with 120'000 people. 76% decrease in mortality in Ivermectin group.

    Video presentation. The ivermectin group did consist of much older and more sick people.


    FLCCC Weekly Update Jan. 5, 2022: Brazil Research Studies
    Watch as four leading doctors—Dr. Kory, Dr. Marik, Dr. Kerr, and Dr. Cadegiani—discuss definitive results from the largest study of IVM in COVID-19, proving it…
    odysee.com


    Risk corrected reduction in mortality is 85% among high risk patients.

  • AAAS


    Quote

    India’s national COVID death totals remain undetermined. Using an independent nationally representative survey of 0.14 million (M) adults, we compared COVID mortality during the 2020 and 2021 viral waves to expected all-cause mortality. COVID constituted 29% (95%CI 28-31%) of deaths from June 2020-July 2021, corresponding to 3.2M (3.1-3.4) deaths, of which 2.7M (2.6-2.9) occurred in April-July 2021 (when COVID doubled all-cause mortality). A sub-survey of 57,000 adults showed similar temporal increases in mortality with COVID and non-COVID deaths peaking similarly. Two government data sources found that, when compared to pre-pandemic periods, all-cause mortality was 27% (23-32%) higher in 0.2M health facilities and 26% (21-31%) higher in civil registration deaths in ten states; both increases occurred mostly in 2021. The analyses find that India’s cumulative COVID deaths by September 2021 were 6-7 times higher than reported officially.

    “Only puny secrets need keeping. The biggest secrets are kept by public incredulity.” (Marshall McLuhan)
    twitter @alain_co

  • AAAS

    This is old cheese now reissued by the US big pharma gang. We know that the India data was wrong for 2020. But we also know that it is correct for 2021 after April...

    So basically this is just an US made history paper issued by a business school.


    Actual India data can be found on:: https://www.mygov.in/covid-19 It is a highly responsive site and its actual - daily not just 4 times a week...


    Only the vaccine terror state Kerala did go on to cheat death figures until 1.5 months ago!!!! So basically the vaccine mafia wanted to fake the data.

  • vaccine mafia

    vaccines are currently the best for racketeering

    but there are other profit streams...opioids...alzheimers...malaria

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