The Playground

  • Increased emergency cardiovascular events among under-40 population in Israel during vaccine rollout and third COVID-19 wave | Scientific Reports (nature.com)


    Using a unique dataset from Israel National Emergency Medical Services (EMS) from 2019 to 2021, the study aims to evaluate the association between the volume of cardiac arrest and acute coronary syndrome EMS calls in the 16–39-year-old population with potential factors including COVID-19 infection and vaccination rates. An increase of over 25% was detected in both call types during January–May 2021, compared with the years 2019–2020. Using Negative Binomial regression models, the weekly emergency call counts were significantly associated with the rates of 1st and 2nd vaccine doses administered to this age group but were not with COVID-19 infection rates. While not establishing causal relationships, the findings raise concerns regarding vaccine-induced undetected severe cardiovascular side-effects and underscore the already established causal relationship between vaccines and myocarditis, a frequent cause of unexpected cardiac arrest in young individuals.

  • Chalking it up to coincidence, “Sometimes these things happen fortuitously, sometimes it’s the result of convergent evolution (when organisms evolve independently to have similar traits to adapt to their environment).” He went on a “quirky observation, but I wouldn’t call it a smoking gun because it’s too small.”


    Moreover, a microbiologist at Reading University, Dr. Simon Clarke, suggested the finding wasn’t as rare as the study authors claim, telling the UK media, “…it’s an interesting coincidence but this surely entirely coincidental.” He makes this claim, declaring, “There can only be a certain number of [genetic combinations within] furin cleavage sites. They function like a lock and key in the cell, and the two only fit together in a limited number of combinations.”


    Yet can these critics be 100% confident the study author’s conclusions are incorrect? What about the math behind the 1 in 3 million probability of a match argument

    The math is that it is not 1 in 3,000,000 because not all DNA sequences are equally likely in a genome (by a very long way).


    It is really difficult to know what is the real probability, because you need to look at how likely are subsequences etc, and also, for a cleavage site, you filter all that by sequences that actually work (a strong filter!).


    You might better ask, what is that match behind the 1 in 3,000,000 figure?


    The answer is, nothing correct!


    Nobody can be 100% sure of anything in science. The question is whether particular data points you uniquely in one direction. Clarke here is saying that the data surely is not strong enough to point you in any direction. He is being sure about the lack of evidence from this analysis. That is not the same as saying there is guaranteed no connection.

  • Increased emergency cardiovascular events among under-40 population in Israel during vaccine rollout and third COVID-19 wave | Scientific Reports (nature.com)


    Using a unique dataset from Israel National Emergency Medical Services (EMS) from 2019 to 2021, the study aims to evaluate the association between the volume of cardiac arrest and acute coronary syndrome EMS calls in the 16–39-year-old population with potential factors including COVID-19 infection and vaccination rates. An increase of over 25% was detected in both call types during January–May 2021, compared with the years 2019–2020. Using Negative Binomial regression models, the weekly emergency call counts were significantly associated with the rates of 1st and 2nd vaccine doses administered to this age group but were not with COVID-19 infection rates. While not establishing causal relationships, the findings raise concerns regarding vaccine-induced undetected severe cardiovascular side-effects and underscore the already established causal relationship between vaccines and myocarditis, a frequent cause of unexpected cardiac arrest in young individuals.

    Looking at this paper, which shows something worth further study especially since the results are in line with other things we know, there is one caveat that weakens the conclusions, which they do not explicitly mention.


    Cardiac emergencies are time correlated very closely (within a few days) to COVID vaccine injections (we know this).


    They are correlated much less closely with case counts, because the time between COVID infection and a heart problem can be much longer, instead of a potential allergen peak over 48 hours or so, we have virus invading the body for a prolonged period.


    These time series correlations are sensitive to time shifts - they have (I believe) not done an autoregression analysis to see how a time shifted version of the COVID incidence would fit heart admissions. So the comparison between COVID risk and vaccination risk cannot be established - and in any case could not be established in general, since it scales with the COVID incidence rate over this period. Israel was vaccinating the entire population, but only some fraction of that actually caught COVID.


    Therefore I find the implicit comparison here misleading, if read as that. They do not (quite rightly) make any such comparison.

  • So the comparison between COVID risk and vaccination risk cannot be established - and in any case could not be established in general, since it scales with the COVID incidence rate over this period. Israel was vaccinating the entire population, but only some fraction of that actually caught COVID.

    There is no need for this as we have enough data, that shows the exceptional high heart damage risk after CoV-19 fake vaccination.

    Further Israel did not "vaccinate" the entire population. Only about 70% got a gene therapy. Israel had 4 mio tested positive cases so far with about the same hidden case number. So all more or less had CoV-19 or Omicron - that no longer is a CoV-19 virus...

  • They are correlated much less closely with case counts, because the time between COVID infection and a heart problem can be much longer, instead of a potential allergen peak over 48 hours or so, we have virus invading the body for a prolonged period.


    These time series correlations are sensitive to time shifts - they have (I believe) not done an autoregression analysis to see how a time shifted version of the COVID incidence would fit heart admissions. So the comparison between COVID risk and vaccination risk cannot be established - and in any case could not be established in general, since it scales with the COVID incidence rate over this period. Israel was vaccinating the entire population, but only some fraction of that actually caught COVID.

    From the study:


    "An increase of over 25% was detected in both call types during January–May 2021, compared with the years 2019–2020"


    If I read you right, you are saying that COVID induced heart attacks, and myocarditis (often confused with ACS according to the study) happen later after initial infection, than those caused by the vaccine, and the study did not take that into account?


    But if so, I would say that the study used the pre-vaccine years 2019-2020 as a baseline to compare with the vaccine year 2021. Any such lag in onset of heart troubles would therefore have been accounted for.




      

  • WorldWideScience is OSTI Dept. Of Energy

    U.S. Department of Energy

    Office of Scientific and Technical Information

    WorldWideScience.org offers automatic 'Alerts' for "Low Energy Nuclear Reaction".


    Sign up and receive the publications recently entered and made available when searching their database. Sometimes a brand new one gets uploaded here. Usually old ones. 15 years ago none were listed at this DoE site. Huge improvement rapidly increasing.

    Alert registration link

    https://worldwidescience.org/wws/mobile/en/search.html

    03/23/22

    Full Record: Low Energy Nuclear Reaction"

    F. A. Gareev; I. E. Zhidkova

    2005-01-01 arXiv

    DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.nucl-th/0505021

    Abstract

    The review of possible stimulation mechanisms of LENR (low energy nuclear reaction) is represented. We have concluded that transmutation of nuclei at low energies and excess heat are possible in the framework of the modern physical theory - the universal resonance synchronization principle [1] and based on its different enhancement mechanisms of reaction rates are responsible for these processes [2]. The excitation and ionization of atoms may play role as a trigger for LENR. Superlow energy of external fields may stimulate LENR [3]. Investigation of this phenomenon requires knowledge of different branches of science: nuclear and atomic physics, chemistry and electrochemistry, condensed matter and solid state physics,... The results of this research field can provide a new source of energy, substances and technologies. The puzzle of poor reproducibility of experimental data is due to the fact that LENR occurs in open systems and it is extremely sensitive to parameters of external fields and systems. Classical reproducibility principle should be reconsidered for LENR experiments. Poor reproducibility and unexplained results do not means that the experiment is wrong.


    :
    2.On the Laser Stimulation of Low-Energy Nuclear Reactions in Deuterated Palladium PDF
    DataCite
    K. P. Sinha; A. Meulenberg
    2006-01-01 arXiv
    DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.cond-mat/0603213
    Abstract
    Models to account for the observed experimental results for low-energy nuclear reactions in palladium-deuteride systems are presented along with calculated results. The crucial idea is a mechanism of improved probability for the needed penetration of the Coulomb barrier for a D-D reaction. This facilitation occurs, in general, with the formation of D^- ions at special frequency modes (e.g. via phonons) and, specifically for the laser-stimulated case, with utilization of enhanced optical potential at a selected interface. Both mechanisms may work individually, or together, to increase the probability of barrier penetration.
    3.Excitation Function of 122Te(d,n)123I Nuclear Reaction : Production of 123I at Low Energy Cyclotron
    OpenAIRE
    Hermanne, Alex; Takacs, Sandor; Azzam, A.; Sonck, Michel; Szelecsenyi, Ferenc; Kovacs, Z.; Tarkanyi, Ferenc
    2022-03-01
  • Beyond "cracks"...


    1. Quantum-coupling between closely-spaced surfaces via transverse photons

      Authors: K. P. Sinha, A. Meulenberg, P. L. Hagelstein

      Abstract: A quantum-mechanical formulation of energy transfer between closely spaced surfaces is given. Coupling between the two surfaces arises from the atomic dipole-dipole interaction involving transverse-photon exchange. The exchange of photons at resonance enhances the radiation transfer. The interaction between two surfaces, separated by a gap, is found to be dependent upon geometric, material, freq… ▽ More

      Submitted 16 October, 2006; v1 submitted 7 June, 2006; originally announced June 2006.

      Comments: 7 pages, 3 figures, Cleaned up Abstract. Minor improvements to text and references. Reduced file size


  • Shane, I am (as is often the case) saying something more nuanced than what you read.


    • If you look at the raw data these guys analyse, you can see large changes in the emergency heart problem admission rate over time (looking random) due perhaps to weather or other things.
    • Any comparison year-on-year is difficult because lockdowns and changed working patterns can affect many thing - including heart problems - in unexpected ways.
    • In addition, the way the smoothed data seems ad hoc and is therefore suspect, and the COVID part of the comparison is not done well (no investigation of time lag). In fact the comparison (inasfar as it is done) is of no value.
    • However, I was not saying this data should be ignored, I was saying it was interesting and deserves further investigation
    • I was saying that it told us nothing new. We know that heart problems are an (uncommon) side effect of vaccination.
    • I was also saying that it was misleading (to a lay reader) in one respect. Casual reading might make you think it indicates that the risks of ER admission due to heart problems from vaccination are greater than the same from COVID. It does not indicate that. In fact no comparison can be drawn from this data as it is presented here.

    Luckily - heart problems are a very well know side effect of the mRNA vaccines (at least) as well as of COVID, so there will be lots of people analysing the data and determining risks in different ways for various subgroups. This analysis does not contribute to that, however it does deserve further investigation.

  • The review of possible stimulation mechanisms of LENR (low energy nuclear reaction) is represented. We have concluded that transmutation of nuclei at low energies and excess heat are possible in the framework of the modern physical theory - the universal resonance synchronization principle [1] and based on its different enhancement mechanisms of reaction rates are responsible for these processes [2]. The excitation and ionization of atoms may play role as a trigger for LENR. Superlow energy of external fields may stimulate LENR [3]. Investigation of this phenomenon requires knowledge of different branches of science: nuclear and atomic physics, chemistry and electrochemistry, condensed matter and solid state physics,... The results of this research field can provide a new source of energy, substances and technologies. The puzzle of poor reproducibility of experimental data is due to the fact that LENR occurs in open systems and it is extremely sensitive to parameters of external fields and systems. Classical reproducibility principle should be reconsidered for LENR experiments. Poor reproducibility and unexplained results do not means that the experiment is wrong.


    • Poor reproducibility and unexplained results means further work is needed to understand what is going on - true.
    • It does not point the finger in any specific direction (e.g. transformation of nuclei).


    What I object to in this is the idea that for LENR uniquely we should abandon ideas about the importance of reproducibility, and the fact that unexplained and irreproducible results mean things not understood - they do not mean "new physics is here" nor do they mean "highly speculative effects in old physics are here". The whole point about highly speculative things is you have lots of them, and mostly they do not pan out.

    Theories which are descriptive with no predictive power have no place in physics. Literally. They do not help us understand the world.

    At best such a descriptive theory can motivate efforts to find some real predictive theory underlying the phenomena. Which has been the case for LENR. But as yet no predictive theory exists.


    For example, if NAEs cause LENR then there should be certain clear switches - across all experiments - that can be used to eliminate observed effects. My view is that the whole corpus of results so far (without very large pruning) is too subject to error for that effect to be seen, because of many experiments showing false positives. But if I'm wrong, then the absence of reliable "off switches" shows that whatever is going on is not even slightly understood. If I'm right, that unreliability means we have first to consider false positives as a most likely explanation for any apparently strange result.


    these are old arguments that can never be resolved.


    That is my point - the above paragraph is saying - don't worry about finding something definite - abandon normal standards for what is a physical theory.


    I see no reason for such a step - and anyway it is a policy for never understanding LENR, if indeed there is some new effect.


    So - to be positive - what would help?


    I see stuff about NAEs, electron shielding, quasiparticles that allow greatly increased reaction rates, all as proper real mechanisms that can be quantified and investigated.


    Quite a lot of work has been done on electron shielding. Specific quantitative analysis of both QM coherence effects and (related) quasiparticle effects could move things on, if there is some real effect here. The magnitude of effects could be bounded, or related to other parameters that are measurable.


    For nuclear reaction rates as claimed in the best experiments we have filters to do with lack of ionising reaction products, and rate of reaction.


    All of that work is real LENR investigation. And it is what those interested in LENR should be looking to, not excusing the lack of.


    THH

  • Covid Deaths Rising Among Vaccinated Elderly and Immunocompromised



    The term “pandemic of the unvaccinated” is rapidly becoming obsolete. As pointed out by TrialSite News in January, fully vaccinated people in Scotland were becoming ill, some seriously, especially the elderly. Now the issue of the unvaccinated getting sick with the Covid-19 virus has reached the United States.


    Vaccinated are Dying

    In recent months, even after being vaccinated, the elderly and the immunocompromised are dying from the covid virus. The issue is the fact the covid vaccines wane over time. This is also a result of a virus that mutates and turns into highly contagious strains. In January and February of 2022 in the United States, the elderly vaccinated made up 42% of covid-19 fatalities due to the Omicron variant, as reported by the Washington Post. According to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), this is a sharp rise from the deaths due to the Delta variant in September. Health experts still claim the unvaccinated are still at greater risk of dying than the vaccinated.


    Numbers in South Korea Rising Among the Vaccinated

    South Korea is not only one of the most vaccinated nations in the world but also one of the most boosted. There is a huge surge of Omicron in the Asian nation. So much so that U.S. health authorities have advised Americans not to travel to the country. According to the South Korean government, the nation has recorded 9.3 million cases of covid and 12,428 deaths, a disturbingly high rate for a largely vaccinated country.


    Elderly are Most Vulnerable

    According the Washington Post, nearly two-thirds of the people who died during the Omicron surge were 75 or older. Seniors are the most vaccinated population in the United States, but the efficacy of the covid vaccine wanes over time, and many elderly individuals have underlying conditions that make them even more vulnerable to infection. When there is a surge in any covid variant, the deaths of the elderly and immunocompromised who are vaccinated, “number in the thousands.”


    “These deaths serve as a reminder that vaccines are not foolproof, and that those in high-risk groups should consider getting boosted and taking extra precautions during surges,” shared California State Epidemiologist Erica Pan.


    Vaccinated Deaths Are Not New

    In October of 2021, the country of Singapore reported that even with mass vaccination, infections and death rates were rising in the country due to the surge of the delta variant. The data in Singapore backs up what’s happening in the United States. Even with a highly vaccinated population, the covid serums may prevent serious disease and death among those who are healthy, but the vaccines do not stop the transmission of the virus and continue to keep the elderly and immunocompromised vulnerable

  • let's meet Biden new propoganda minister of truth. You can't make this shit up!!!


    Biden ‘disinfo’ czar Nina Jankowicz ripped over cringeworthy Mary Poppins TikTok


    Biden ‘disinfo’ czar Nina Jankowicz ripped over cringeworthy Mary Poppins TikTok
    Nina Jankowicz’s newly resurfaced take on the “Supercalifragilisticexpialidocious” tune was being shared widely online Friday after it emerged she has her own…
    nypost.com


    The person tapped to head President Biden’s new Big Brother-like disinformation board drew fresh disdain Friday over her flippant attitude toward misinformation — and her own history of spreading it.

    Nina Jankowicz’s ability to be taken seriously in her role on Homeland Security’s new Orwellian “Disinformation Governance Board” was thrown into question after a cringeworthy TikTok video resurfaced of her adapting the Mary Poppins tune “Supercalifragilisticexpialidocious” to be about fake news.

  • Well let's look at the latest and greatest Paxcrap, take it and you still infect household members so it doesn't lower virus level and you run a good chance of Reinfection. Again you can't make this shit up. But they continue to push this crap as a new media campaign has begun using the VP asymptomatic infection. I didn't know she was at risk as Paxcrap is intended!


    Paxlovid oral treatment fails to prevent COVID-19 in household members: Pfizer


    Paxlovid oral treatment fails to prevent COVID-19 in household members: Pfizer - National | Globalnews.ca


    Pfizer Inc PFE.N on Friday said a large trial found that its COVID-19 oral antiviral treatment Paxlovid was not effective at preventing coronavirus infection in people living with someone who had been exposed to the virus

  • its very obvious that the Biden administration is NOT following the science. #1 why is the president telling doctors what to prescribe?


    Biden to docs: Prescribe more COVID-19 antiviral treatment Paxlovid


    Biden to docs: Prescribe more COVID-19 antiviral treatment Paxlovid
    The White House is making a concerted push to get more doctors to prescribe Pfizer’s COVID-19 treatment Paxlovid, noting that the drug is now much more widely…
    www.fiercehealthcare.com


    The White House is making a concerted push to get more doctors to prescribe Pfizer’s COVID-19 treatment Paxlovid, noting that the drug is now much more widely available than when it was approved last December.


    The Biden administration announced Wednesday it is releasing toolkits and resources to help doctors determine when it is appropriate to prescribe the antiviral treatment. It comes as the administration is also hoping to get doctors to stop prescribing steroids for mild to moderate COVID-19.

  • This is a press release (as such it can be published anywhere in its entirety) from MIT and the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. No mention of 'cold fusion' yet, I am certain they are following recent advancements in CMNS energy technologies ('hot and cold', solid state, hybrid fission/fusion, self organized plasmas, diodes, etc. etc. etc.) and expect CMNS research will be highlighted and researchers will be honoured by them soon.

    From the release


    • “We are celebrating a depth of achievements in a breadth of areas,” says David Oxtoby, president of the American Academy. “These individuals excel in ways that excite us and inspire us at a time when recognizing excellence, commending expertise, and working toward the common good is absolutely essential to realizing a better future.” Since its founding in 1780, the academy has elected leading thinkers from each generation, including George Washington and Benjamin Franklin in the 18th century, Maria Mitchell and Daniel Webster in the 19th century, and Toni Morrison and Albert Einstein in the 20th century. The current membership includes more than 250 Nobel and Pulitzer Prize winners.


    Perhaps Jed Rothwell or Peter Hagelstein have insight into this. Will CMNS research be honoured by the Academy and touted about at MIT by 2024?


    NEWS

    Seven from MIT Elected to American Academy of Arts and Sciences for 2022

    Prestigious honor society announces more than 250 new members.

    MIT News Office Publication Date:April 28, 2022

    Seven MIT faculty members are among more than 250 leaders from academia, the arts, industry, public policy, and research elected to the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, the academy announced Thursday.

    One of the nation’s most prestigious honorary societies, the academy is also a leading center for independent policy research. Members contribute to academy publications,

    as well as studies of:

    science and technology policy,

    energy and global security,

    social policy and American institutions,

    the humanities and culture,

    and education.


    Those elected from MIT this year are:


    • Alberto Abadie, professor of economics and associate director of the Institute for Data, Systems, and Society
    • Regina Barzilay, the School of Engineering Distinguished Professor for AI and Health
    • Roman Bezrukavnikov, professor of mathematics
    • Michale S. Fee, the Glen V. and Phyllis F. Dorflinger Professor and head of the Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences
    • Dina Katabi, the Thuan and Nicole Pham Professor
    • Ronald T. Raines, the Roger and Georges Firmenich Professor of Natural Products Chemistry
    • Rebecca R. Saxe, the John W. Jarve Professor of Brain and Cognitive Sciences


    Seven from MIT elected to American Academy of Arts and Sciences for 2022
    MIT professors Alberto Abadie, Regina Barzilay, Roman Bezrukavnikov, Michale Fee, Dina Katabi, Ronald Raines, and Rebecca Saxe have been elected members of the…
    news.mit.edu

  • What I object to in this is the idea that for LENR uniquely we should abandon ideas about the importance of reproducibility, and the fact that unexplained and irreproducible results mean things not understood - they do not mean "new physics is here" nor do they mean "highly speculative effects in old physics are here".

    Yes, poor reproducibility does not mean "new physics are here." But any certain reproducibility does mean that. Poor reproducibility or easy -- any level of reproducibility with a high enough signal to noise ratio is sufficient to ensure the effect is real. Mammal cloning worked in roughly 1 per 1000 tests, but there was no doubt it was working. Some of the early transistors worked less often than cold fusion, but there was no doubt they were working.


    Reproducibility has little or nothing to do with whether an effect is real or not. Signal to noise ratios are more germane.


    I do not understand why you and other people keep dragging out this argument. I doubt you would say this about any other experiment that happens to be difficult to replicate, such as landing rockets on Mars or the top quark experiment. The top quark experiment was difficult, and so expensive, it was never independently replicated. Do you reject it for that reason? Nuclear bombs are very difficult to replicate, but everyone knows they are real. The Georgia Vogtle reactors under construction prove that fission reactor power plants are extremely difficult to replicate (that is, construct), but no one doubts they are real. Now that Westinghouse has gone bankrupt, it may be that no American or Japanese engineering company has the skills to construct a modern, safe nuclear power plant. But it would be absurd to say such a plant is physically impossible to make.

  • #1 why is the president telling doctors what to prescribe?

    Because experts at the CDC and elsewhere advise the president that this is the best available treatment. What do you want the president to do? Should he instead follow advice from random idiots on the internet? The CDC and other public health agencies have a legal obligation to make recommendations. One of the president's jobs is to tell the public about these recommendations. If the recommendations turn out to be wrong, that cannot be helped. No expert or group of experts are perfect. They do the best they can.

  • Because experts at the CDC and elsewhere advise the president that this is the best available treatment. What do you want the president to do? Should he instead follow advice from random idiots on the internet? The CDC and other public health agencies have a legal obligation to make recommendations. One of the president's jobs is to tell the public about these recommendations. If the recommendations turn out to be wrong, that cannot be helped. No expert or group of experts are perfect. They do the best they can.

    You obviously didn't read the latest on paxcrap

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