Why was the one-year test performed?

  • Quote

    The thing is, pathologically evil people and insane people have, at times, made important discoveries. They have done first-rate research.


    Fair enough. But, if we are to do "likelihood from character" Rossi is neither evil nor insane, merely much much more interested in dramatic effect than his stuff actually working. To the extent that he has always said tests that might establish that are "not necessary".


    Or, if we do likelihood from ability, training, etc, Rossi scores zero.


    So, while you could I suppose claim that anyone could make a serendipitous world-shattering discovery, Rossi looks a supremely unlikely candidate.


    His only qualification would appear to be a good opinion of himself and the ability to convince others of that.

  • Fair enough. But, if we are to do "likelihood from character" Rossi is neither evil nor insane, merely much much more interested in dramatic effect than his stuff actually working. To the extent that he has always said tests that might establish that are "not necessary".


    I'm open to the idea that he was trying to play it straight at first--although this is not really necessary. I think a lot of the appearance of being "hard working" is part of the dramatic effect. "Gee, look at how hard I'm working." The reality is that dedicated others have probably done most of the hard work of building devices. He does not seem very technically skilled, but is able to inspire others to work hard in order to be part of the biggest revolution in the history of energy generation.


    I agree that based on his history, behavior, and skill, the chances of him ever making a breakthrough in LENR (or perhaps any technical field), are diminishingly small.

    • Official Post

    Like what? A steam pipe that is by a factor of three too small to allow the throughput he claims? Dozens of manually adjusted pumps that would require an additional, invisible one for assistance and control? An oversized flow meter? Dirty water in transparent tubes? Supposed heat that requires the absurdities all e-catworld regulars can muster combined (an impressive pile of utter nonsense - granted) to vanish?



    Jami,


    Well, you have to take that up with E48, and his buddies over on ECW. They think the 1MW is everything you don't. Not surprising as you always had a knack for seeing the darker side of an issue.


    Anyways, I am just making one of those "appeals to authority"....their authority, so don't blame me. I just believe what those higher up the food chain tell me to believe. :)

  • Well, you have to take that up with E48, and his buddies over on ECW. They think the 1MW is everything you don't.


    Apart from the main story, this side story, about different groups of observers coming to such different conclusions and assessments of relative likelihood when looking at the same evidence, has been entertaining, eye-opening and dismaying all at the same time. I now have a much better understanding about why Brilliant Light Power still has a continued and devoted following after two decades for example. It reminds me a little of the old Kurosawa movie Rashomon, where four different witnesses to a crime described four very different accounts of it.

  • Personally I'm following this discussion with some interest because is a good example of how a closed group can create his own reality.
    Many of you think that the fact that no academic member have ever answered you is just because they feel "ashamed".
    None of you could ever consider that nobody is answering you because of no interest and because in fact some of you have created a "Negation Church".
    In this kind of worship everything is mixed and confused (an industrial size low temperature plant with a high temperature prototype), you have found your own Devil (Rossi) and a Sinner (Levi).
    You even pretend to be capable to judge "behavior patterns" (do you ever know what "behavior" is ?) and psychological characters. (Have you ever seen a real psychopath ?)
    All that could be fun for you (as is for people discussing of sport, politics or celebrities) but I think that here is quite insane.
    Instead of asking "Why somebody else is doing this" try to ask yourself :
    Why you are doing that ?
    Why you need to pass hours and days writing ? (Seems like a real work)
    What are your motivations ?

    • Official Post

    Well now, looks like we have the answer to this threads title. Straight from Rossi himself last night (29 Aug):


    "the 1 year test has been a commercial test, made along a protocol described in a commercial/industrial contract; the object of the 1 year test was a low temperature E-Cat rated 1 MW of power, not a Hot Cat rated 3 kW of power. Being a completely new and revolutionary product, a test of at least one year has been agreed upon by the parties that signed the related contract.


    Warm Regards,A.R."


    Nothing in there about a GPT, or the test being run to get paid his $89 million. This comment is in line with his email to IH where he sold them on the commercial, R/D aspects of running the 1MW in Doral.

  • Quote

    Many of you think that the fact that no academic member have ever answered you is just because they feel "ashamed".


    Actually, yes and no. The reason they don't respond is that their work was dreadfully deficient and incompetent to start with and they have no answers to anyone (not just internet posters) about the deficiencies. They have published nothing, replicated nothing that anyone knows about, and basically don't answer valid questions about their improper methodology and their lack of proper calibration. Whether or not they are ashamed isn't clear. They SHOULD be.

    • Official Post

    Mary - you know very well why the various professors don't and won't engage in debate on the web - you have been told several times. For various reasons, all of which you have been told about, you are never going to hear a peep from any of them. Pretending you don't understand why not is just your excuse for trotting out the same old grumble. Come on now, you are smarter that that.

  • Subject added with "This is what IH paid for" followed by a photo of a proud Rossi in front of a U.S. flag with his patent


    Weird. Is that an answer to the question asked about the 1 year test? And didn't IH pay for a License including what was covered by that Patent?


    Problem is, that patent is probably useless. To be valid, it must disclose how to make the invention so that anyone POSITA (possessing ordinary skill in the art) can make it. It's not just IH that couldn't do this. Nobody has. That's prima facie evidence of worthlessness.


    Obviously, that is rebuttable, but ... I wouldn't bet on it.


  • Well, no. He mentions a "test of at least one year has been agreed upon by the parties that signed the related contract."


    Rossi is not great on precision and detail. He is practically hopeless, actually. Perhaps he should actually read the IH Answer. Sure, he doesn't have to accept it, but it would be useful if he, at least, understood the issues.


    What I notice is that Rossi does not describe the purpose of the test! He more or less says, the purpose of the test was a test.


    1. The protocol was not as described in the contract.
    2. The device tested was not what was described in the contract.
    3. The setup in Doral was as a sale of power, sold as that and as a demonstration for investors to view.
    4. Measurement was apparently added to that, but without an agreement to make this the Guaranteed Performance Test.
    5. The Agreement contemplated a GPT in the IH facility in Raleigh, under their control.
    6. The Second Amendment, if valid, required the written agreement of all parties on setting the start of a postponed GPT.
    7. Rossi has not alleged that such a written agreement existed, nor its equivalent.
    8. With the Doral installation, Rossi actively excluded the IH engineer, violating the Agreement between IH, Rossi, and the "customer," and created conditions where he could not verify results.

  • Since I just looked at Rossi's blog for a comment here, I also noticed that Rossi's understanding of, ah, science, is weak and his ability to explain it may be worse.


    and then this:



    I think I'll just let this sink in.


    Okay, I'll say a little. Kwh/h is a Rossi trope, he uses it all the time. 1 kW = 1 kWh/h. Basic math. The hour cancels in the numerator and denominator. The poor kid!


    And Proxima_Centauri is the nearest star to the Sun, as Hank mentioned. 4.25 light years away. But what is six orders of magnitude among friends? The question was basically a dumb question, but that's beyond my scope.


    So Rossi's knowledge of astronomy is punk. (I knew the four light year figure probably before I was in high school. This is basic general scientific knowledge. However, it's worse than that. The detection of exoplanets is normally only possible for maybe up to a few thousand light years away, except for very rare events that allow some transient detection, I think two extragalactic planets have been suspected. There are obviously many, many more, it's just that the observation is difficult.)


    But that answer about power and potential energy would be worrisome. Those are basics in what he's dealing with.

  • Quote

    Mary - you know very well why the various professors don't and won't engage in debate on the web - you have been told several times. For various reasons, all of which you have been told about, you are never going to hear a peep from any of them. Pretending you don't understand why not is just your excuse for trotting out the same old grumble. Come on now, you are smarter that that.


    Alan,


    I'm confused here. I understand why now none of them (if sensible) would want to debate matters on the web or anywhere else except in private. I can understand why at the time none would want to go on internet forums engaging in informal discussion.


    What I cannot understand is why when first sent TC's paper (and if you disbelieve him that he sent it you could check with them) they did not properly consider his point and in an addition either agree publicly that there were errors or refute it. This was a definite difference in interpretation separate from the empirical data, that any competent scientist could review. Mats claims he has now asked a few to do this but has been very silent as to the results. If, for spectrally variable emissivity, the IR band emissivity is necessarily the same as the total emissivity then TC was wrong and Levi et al right. Or if not, the published extraordinary conclusions were premature: both the "acceleration" and the "heat excess" have a possible mundane explanation. And while TC was only one voice there were others before and after him making the same point.


    At that time IH and Rossi were happy with each other. Had proper reply been made at the time all parties could have been clearer.


    The only reason I can see is that they were under an NDA - and in that case the might well be required not even to say that they were under NDA. If so the way that their work was presented (as an independent test) was false.


    Regards, THH

    • Official Post

    I can't believe I'm explaining this again Thomas. As I understand it all concerned with all the tests have mutually agreed (and with their department heads in some cases) that more discussion on the web is pointless, since as you have just seen in another thread, it not a place for agreement or clear discussions, but a place that enables perpetual disagreement. This refusal to discuss further has nothing to do with NDA's AFAIK, or anything beyond a feeling that it is a total waste of time. No means no in this case, and perpetual nagging will NOT change that decision.


    ETA - Your imaginary NDA's and suggestion of bias resulting from that are btw typical of the comments that led to the decision not to engage being taken.


    Here be Trolls

  • This refusal to discuss further has nothing to do with NDA's AFAIK, or anything beyond a feeling that it is a total waste of time. No means no in this case, and perpetual nagging will NOT change that decision.


    I feel that this attitude, if it was adopted by the Lugano scientists, is both understandable and unfortunate. It's understandable because there are people, well-meaning or otherwise, who are at all levels of understanding and goodwill who will intrude on any productive discussion on this site or other forums, and bring down the level of conversation, introducing fake disagreement. (Fake, because if you control for intelligence and understanding, there may be no real disagreement after all.) But the attitude would be unfortunate at the same time, because (1) some of those Internet critiques could well have hit on real issues that the Lugano authors overlooked; and (2) if they released to the public an account that puts the E-Cat technology in a positive light that turns out to have been flawed, without correcting the picture later on, they're indirectly responsible for any funds that are misdirected to Leonardo or similar outfits as a result. They're providing advertising copy for the E-Cat.

  • Quote

    ...discussion on the web is pointless, since as you have just seen in another thread, it not a place for agreement or clear discussions, but a place that enables perpetual disagreement...


    Hang on - we're not talking about Cornell refusing to discuss his latest paper from Science or Nature on an obscure nutcase blog. We're talking about a paper that was chosen to be published on an obscure nutcase blog in the first place. There is no conceivable reason for a high horse here.

  • To be valid, it must disclose how to make the invention so that anyone POSITA (possessing ordinary skill in the art) can make it. It's not just IH that couldn't do this. Nobody has. That's prima facie evidence of worthlessness.



    Since you tend to like being fussy about details, I have to make one comment: no one (except maybe IH?) that we know of has actually tried to build the fluid heater exactly as described in Rossi's patent.

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