Rossi-Blog Comment Discussion

    • Official Post


    I don't know what world you live in, but in mine anyone that does not condemn Rossi for his deceptions should be ashamed. My gosh man, he rigged the Doral test by forming a shell company, fooled everyone into believing there was a real customer, with a real need for steam, and that a real product was actually being made and sold.


    He lied about the mezzazine heat exchanger, and the special "recirculator pump" he is supposedly going to patent that ran the non-existent contraption. Then, after the 1MW container was padlocked, he set about destroying the plumbing so no one could reverse engineer it. Once IH turned over the plant to him as per the settlement, he could not disassemble it fast enough, and now he claims the customers do not want it. LOLs.


    I could go on and on, but will save that for another day. The guy is as dishonest as they come, and he thrives on fooling others. If you ask me -just some guy on the internet interested in LENR, the longer Rossi stays in the limelight, the more the field will suffer. He is a laughingstock, and naysayers will use his fame/infamy within the community to justify their further condemning of LENR as a fringe, or voodoo science.

  • That is an unanswerable question. Suppose that you wanted to prove that aliens don't exist. So you ride a rocket to the moon and say "aha" they aren't here, so they must not exist, at least on the moon. Then you travel to Mars and do the same. The problem is, you have an infinite problem space to work out. You would need to travel to every potentially habitable planet in the known universe to confirm for each individual planet whether aliens don't exist. That presents a problem. It is quite difficult to prove a negative.


    Jumping to conclusions is a cardinal sin, in my mind. That is not to say that we must therefore believe everything. That's also absurd. But when there is some evidence for a thing, the most rational position to take is to withhold strong conclusions until such thing is irrefutably proved. To me, in this instance, the only such irrefutable proof can come from the marketplace. The primary reason for this is that the scientific establishment has put up a remarkably effective blockade to peer-reviewed research and has instituted a remarkably effective reputation trap.

    IHFB,


    How about this,

    Andrea Rossi will die of old age/natural causes without ever producing an

    Energy Out>Energy In device.

    No space travel, no aliens, no blockades,

    just no Working Ecat, would that be enough?

    • Official Post

    Jed posted this on Vortex the other day. I thought it was very good, and explained many things in LENR land. Do not know why he did not copy here, but here it is (hope you do not mind):


    I regret to announce that Coolescence has closed their doors. They never

    were able to replicate excess heat. I think they ran out of money, and

    perhaps they ran out of gumption. That would be understandable.


    Over at CMNS, Ed Storms posted a melancholy comment about this. We are not

    supposed to quote CMNS but in this case I will take the liberty of quoting

    a short portion:


    > The skeptics will say, "Obviously, the better and more carefully the

    > studies are done, the less likely the false claims would result." How can

    > we respond to such a conclusion?

    >

    Since I can quote myself as much as I like, here is what I wrote in

    response.


    . . . That is a good question. I think the answer is as follows --


    The most careful studies were done by people such as Mel Miles showed a

    positive effect.


    Coolescence tried to replicate Miles, but they failed. Miles says this is

    because they made mistakes in the replication. You can ask him for details.


    I conclude that they made mistakes in this replication, and in the other

    replications they attempted. I assume the original studies were positive

    and correct. Coolescence reported their results correctly, and these

    results were negative. The disconnect is in the experimental materials or

    procedures, not in the reporting.


    Here is why I reached this conclusion and why I think it is plausible.


    *Many Replications Fail Because This Experiment is Difficult*


    There were many failed replications in 1989, including many done by

    experienced scientists in well-equipped major laboratories. In most cases

    these failures occured because the scientists were not electrochemists;

    they did not consult with electrochemists, and they made elementary

    mistakes. I described an example on p. 10 and 11 here:


    http://lenr-canr.org/acrobat/RothwellJlessonsfro.pdf


    There were some failed experiments conducted by experienced

    electrochemists. In a few cases it is likely these were false negatives.

    Here is a well-known example, by Lewis:


    http://lenr-canr.org/acrobat/RothwellJhownaturer.pdf


    This failure was not due to lack of skill or attention. Lewis did excellent

    work. His paper is good. It has many useful suggestions. His failure was in

    his analysis.


    Even people who succeeded from time to time in cold fusion often failed.

    Mel Miles worked for months before getting positive results. As I wrote

    here the other day, the research project at the University of Missouri has

    not worked well:


    Many techniques have been described in the literature that worked a few

    times spectacularly, but most of the time they do not work. They are

    irreproducible. The SuperWave technique once produced, "Excess Power of up

    to 34 watts; Average ~20 watts for 17 h." (http://www.lenr-canr.org/acro

    bat/DardikIexcessheat.pdf) I have heard that despite strenuous efforts, it

    has never done that at U. Missouri.


    I do not think these earlier results could be an error. 20 W is a lot of

    heat. With no input power it seems unlikely to me anyone would confuse zero

    watts with 20 W.


    Richard Oriani told me that in his 50-year career in electrochemistry, the

    Fleischmann Pons experiment was the most difficult one he did.


    Experiments and technologies that fail drastically are not uncommon. As

    Beaudette pointed out, to clone the first sheep, biologists had to make

    hundreds of attempts before one finally worked. Billions of dollars have

    been invested in rocket technology. Every rocket launch costs millions of

    dollars. Rockets carry satellites worth millions more. Despite these high

    stakes, rockets often explode. The technology is not reliable.


    It makes no sense to say that cold may not exist because it is so difficult

    to replicate. No one would claim that rockets do not exist because they are

    unreliable.


    *You Need A PhD in Electrochemistry*


    As far as I know, everyone who replicated cold fusion had a PhD in

    electrochemistry, or they worked with people who did. I am not sure about

    Storms at Los Alamos, but Los Alamos is chock-full of experts in every

    subject. Coolescence may have had first-class instruments but they probably

    did not have the kind of expertise on tap that Storms did. I do not know

    whether anyone at Coolescence has a PhD in electrochemistry. I do not think

    so. That is my impression talking to Mel Miles. If professionals at a place

    like Kamiokande failed for lack of electrochemical expertise, it would not

    surprise me if the people at Coolescence also failed for this reason.


    I do not know much about electrochemistry but I have spent a lot of time

    editing papers about it and listening to people such as Mizuno, McKubre,

    Miles, Bockris and Fleischman talk about it. They know a terrific amount

    about the subject. Enough to write a textbook. Bockris *did* write an

    authoritative textbook. Here is the point: you have to know thousands of

    details about electrochemistry, if you get a single detail wrong the

    experiment may not work. You will not know why.


    According to Mizuno, McKubre and others, getting a PhD in electrochemistry

    is like an apprenticeship. With Bockris it was like slavery, according to

    Mizuno. It is something you do hands-on in a laboratory working

    side-by-side with experts. It resembles surgery. You cannot learn it on

    your own from a textbook.


    McKubre and some others who replicated learned electrochemistry from

    Fleischmann. That may have put them in a better position to replicate.

    There may be details about electrochemistry that Fleischmann emphasized and

    taught that were relevant to this experiment, including specifics that

    Fleischmann and McKubre themselves may not realize were critical to

    success. McKubre might be compared to an airplane pilot who had the good

    fortune to be trained by the engineers at Boeing. He has inside knowledge

    of the machine.


    The other day Mizuno pointed out some errors in chemistry that he thinks

    the people at Industrial Heat made when they tried to replicate his

    experiment. Murray, at I.H., is an impressive guy. He has world-class

    skills in calorimetry and thermal engineering. He designed and built

    equipment for the US military and others, some of it costing millions of

    dollars. If Mizuno were to explain these errors to him, and if the two of

    them were to work side-by-side for several months, I suppose Murray could

    master the chemistry. Unfortunately, Mizuno spent only a few weeks in the

    I.H. lab. Murray knows a lot about chemistry and materials, but he probably

    does not know the specifics needed to master this particular experiment,

    because this is not his area of expertise. I may be mistaken, but I do not

    think I.H. had an in-house electrochemist working on this project.


    In short, people seldom master complicated science and technology without

    direct, hands-on, in-person training by experts.


    This is somewhat beyond the scope of the discussion, but it raises an

    interesting question: How did we ever master these technologies in the

    first place? For example, to learn to fly an airplane, you must train with

    an experienced pilot. So how did people learn to fly in the first place?

    The answer is that only two people learned without training: the Wright

    brothers. They trained the first pilots, and these pilots trained others.

    There is a direct line from pilot to pilot going back to the Wrights. Each

    generation of pilots learns nearly everything from other pilots, and goes

    on to master only a few new techniques and new equipment. Airplanes grew

    bigger, more complex and took more training to master. Sometime around 1920

    it became impossible for anyone to master an airplane without training. You

    could no longer recapitulate the skills on your own, starting from scratch.

    The process resembles the emergence of complexity in biological evolution.

    No species emerges *de novo*.

  • Rothwell" Mizuno spent only a few weeks in the IH lab"


    Murray " and then he came over and he spent, I don't·know if it was a week or ten days,


    Mizuno " The activation process was not possible at that time. Moreover, I had only two days."

    In both accurate replications and accurate recollections the fine details are important.

    I am quite sure that Mizuno knows the dates of his airtickets.

    • Official Post

    Oh, now I see why Rossi abandoned the 1MW Ecat. It was "ready to die", along with "the reactors and many parts of it". Dang those machines! Too bad we are not in the 21st century, where those engineering problems are easily resolved...oh, wait, we are! :) But thankfully the 1MW, in it's "death", has planted the seed for it's offspring the QX. How touching:


    Frank Acland

    November 6, 2017 at 5:06 PM

    Dear Andrea,

    1. So far, how much more reliable is the E-Cat QX compared to the E-Cat reactors used in the 1 MW plant you ran for the year-long test?

    2. When you say that after inspection you found that the 1 MW plant was “ready to die” do you mean the reactors, or other components of the plant?

    Thank you,

    Frank Acland

    Andrea Rossi


    November 6, 2017 at 6:39 PM

    Frank Acland:

    1- much, much more, but this is thanks to the !MW E-Cat tested for one year

    2- the reactors and many parts of it

    Warm Regards,

    A.R.

  • Rothwell

    "The process resembles the emergence of complexity in biological evolution. No species emerges *de novo*.""


    I beg to differ Jed


    LENR or any technology is not like "biological evolution"

    Evolution is not postulated to involve an intelligent process.

    Intelligent design produces technology de novo, ex animo, all the time.

    Intelligent design often modifies the prototype.


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    • Official Post

    Parkhomov Padua! I thought it its day of glory! Physicists are mistaken, energy should be looked for on geology!


    Gennaidy,


    One thing that bothers me about Parkomov and Padua, is that MFMP was there also to replicate his Rossi Hotcat replication. There in Padua, he helped MFMP set up for *another* test of his reactor...the first being the failed replication in Moscow, and after helping do that, left with his granddaughter/interpreter for travel. It came to be known as the second failed MFMP/AP test. I wish AP would give an explanation.

  • "I fully believe real fusion will beat so-called cold fusion to have a working plant"


    Have you seen any timeline for Wendelstein7X reaching "working plant" status??


    https://www.eenews.net/stories/1060034711

    bocjin - W7x is still an experiment where they are performing step by step science to determine the parameters necessary for a future plant. It will be many years before it results in a plant in the normal case. What I'm counting on is that once W7x verifies their version of real fusion to exacting, rigorous, standards, a smart tech savvy billionaire will jump in and take over. If the "SpaceX" scenario (where technology languished unchanged for decades until the private sector billionaires took over and we now have cheap reusable rockets almost overnight) happens with W7x, I see a working plant within 10 years.

  • The reason why Rossi spent so much time at the IH demo site was that the version of LENR(solid fuel) that he was using was not passively controllable. Unless he was on site to adjust the reaction, then the 1 Mw plant would meltdown at some point. In contrast, the quark is passively controllable, It cannot meltdown because it is already in a plasma state. During the doral demo, Rossi tried to design a control system for the 1 Mw plant, but he was not sucessful. This controller design activity is where he spent most of his time at doral. The control of the quark is very simple in comparison to the hotcat. The controller for the quark is simplistic and very inexpensive to build since the quark cannot meltdown.

  • "I see a working plant within 10 years."


    Maybe the same time for the Wendelstein7X HENR and the deuterium LENR reactor.

    If its that long

    I will already have 5KW worth of solar panels on my roof to charge the car and house.

    Cost $5000/ Battery cost? $2000?

  • I see that AR has now revealed the demo date on JONP. The 24th November 2017. The place is still not public, but I am as they say 'all booked up and ready' thanks in part to some generous and unexpected donations from forum members and others. I think Rossi is cautious about being mobbed by groupies.


    Using some logic informs the place for the demo: Florida.

  • I am as they say 'all booked up and ready' thanks in part to some generous and unexpected donations from forum members and others.

    Well, the way I see it (and I think not only me but anyone who hasn’t lost his common sense) - going to Florida to check if Rossi has a working LENR reactor makes same sense as travelling to Nigeria and checking if Dr. Ibrahim Ahmed really has a gold treasury which he wants to share with others.

    • Official Post

    Well, the way I see it (and I think not only me but anyone who hasn’t lost his common sense) - going to Florida to check if Rossi has a working LENR reactor makes same sense as travelling to Nigeria and checking if Dr. Ibrahim Ahmed really has a gold treasury which he wants to share with others.


    That will be the week after. See you there, Ahmed says such good things about you..

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