Thanks! And "Estimates from the MRC data appear to be more stable over time, having fallen by around 55% in the six weeks to 4 August, compared to a fall of over 80% for estimates based on the ONS data."
EDIT : And with the correct search term : https://www.cdc.gov/coronaviru…p/planning-scenarios.html
Gives the current IFR (under various scenarios) .. but not the trend.
EDIT2 : Is Covid-19 growing less lethal? The infection fatality rate says ‘no’
This yielded an infection fatality rate of 0.63%, which is not significantly different from the CDC’s best estimate of 0.65% for the U.S. in the Spring of 2020.
Yes, the IFR estimates defined as mortality / infections look pretty stable, but going down a bit due to better treatment. 80% fall in mortality looks too high but I expect it is a demographic issue. The infections at that time were skewing towards young people who went out and partied, or children who went to school. You expect over time that shielding arrangements for at risk older people will become better (and perhaps those badly shielded will catch COVID and be removed from the statistics). With this disease the IFR is critically depoendent on the age of those catching it - and that is not modelled by the UK data.
From the UK on R4 today:
Survival chances in hospital of increased significantly (with Dexamethasone and better management - not sure if that includes other drugs). Average 10 days in hospital (vs 21) and 80% now survive (vs it did not say but it must have been at least 50%).
it is expected that over about 6 months we get better at treating the disease, and the figures for hospital stay time show this is not just keeping people alive, but also reducing the severity of the disease.
All without wonder-drugs!
eTurboNews talked to a medical professional in Germany involved in the treatment of Coronavirus.
He or she did not want to be named but said there is a reason for it.
Kept as an internal secret the treatment protocol in the Federal Republic of Germany looks very different from other regions.
211,060 infections, 395 new cases today, 9226 dead, including two more today.
9226/211,060 = 0.43% IFR - a little bit lower than other estimates but comparable? Look at the details of antibody test sampling for the infection figure since this can skew things.
They might have slightly better treatment, but why on earth would it be a secret - and how could it be a secret, with doctors everywhere knowing it? Does not make sense.