Covid-19 News

  • Spain and Italy seem to be doing pretty well so far.


    I believe they have finally implemented testing, case tracking and warning people who may have been exposed. As far as I know, all of the countries that have controlled the epidemic use these techniques. In April, Spain and other EU countries starting using the kind of cell phone apps used in Korea and New Zealand:


    How do COVID-19 tracing apps work and what kind of data do they use?


    https://www.bbva.com/en/how-do…kind-of-data-do-they-use/


    As I have often moaned, Georgia has not implemented these things. So it is probably heading for trouble. Some people in the state government have cited the need for these things, and said they will implement them, but as far as I know they have not done it. It may be that social distancing and people staying home will keep things in check. Unfortunately, the R0 remains stuck at ~1. If it stays this way, and it takes a year for a vaccine to be deployed, 11,000 people will die needlessly. A sacrifice to ignorance and stupidity.


    Just about every editorial and news article about the pandemic these days talks about case tracking. The message is finally getting through. In the U.S., 90,000 people have died. If we had implemented these things in March, only a few thousand would have died. I think this is the worst mistake in the history of U.S. medicine and technology, and the most incompetent act of any administration. We have lost more people in previous disasters, such as the 1918 pandemic. That was unavoidable. More people died from lung cancer caused by cigarettes. That was criminal. I do not know of any case in which 90,000 people died and the economy was devastated because the president and his advisers were idiots who would not do what dozens of other countries have done.


    It is astounding to me that ~49% of Americans think Trump has done a good job handling the pandemic. Don't they read the newspapers? Don't they realize that Japan, for example, has completely controlled the pandemic, ~30 new cases per day? They have had 773 deaths. If it takes another year more to develop a vaccine, they will have 160 more deaths (0.6 per day). Japan's population is 1/3rd of the U.S. If we implemented the steps they took, and Greece and a dozen other countries took, we would have no need for a shutdown, and our total deaths for a year would be ~5,000.


    HHS Sec. Azar said that the U.S. rates are higher than Japan because our population has more health problems, such as obesity, and we have unhealthy minority groups that have been neglected such as black people and Native Americans. He is right about that. We do have more health problems. But that has nothing to do with infection rate! You are infected just as easily whether you are healthy or obese, black or white. Only the outcome is affected. Per capita, U.S. citizens are infected 300 times more often than Japanese people. We are not 300 times less healthy. The problem is, the disease is more widespread and uncontrolled, so we are 300 times more likely to encounter a contagious person.


    Azar also complained that Japan does not test as much per capita, so they don't know how many cases they have, and they probably have a bunch more hidden ones. That's wrong. If they had hidden cases, they would see more people infected from unknown, untraceable sources. At the peak of the epidemic a few weeks ago, they did see that. Today there are practically no untraceable cases. There is no need to test many people per capita when there are only 30 new cases a day and you know where all 30 came from. We need millions of tests because we have 25,000 new cases a day, and most are from unknown people. Or, at least, the government does not know. The patients may know the infection came from their spouse or co-worker, but the government is not keeping track.

  • More of the politicization and demonization of HCQ. Two cardiologists' opinions --

    Even without reading all of it, there is no doubt whatever that HCQ and probably even HCQ with AZI are safe in the vast majority of people. Long experience treating and preventing malaria, as well as with lupus and rheumatoid arthritis says that. The problems are that:


    1) the benefits are very unclear at the moment... it is even unclear if there is any benefit at all and...


    2) rheumatologists and infectious disease specialists who prescribe the drug(s) do so with precautions to prevent or predict complications. People just taking the drug they got who-knows-where do not and ...


    3) nobody knows for sure but it is likely that COVID-19 infection, because it attacks the heart, may make the complications worse (as suggested by the pretty awful VA study we hear so much about)


    So, if the president wants to take HCQ, fine. But he should have kept it quiet.

  • It is astounding to me that ~49% of Americans think Trump has done a good job handling the pandemic. Don't they read the newspapers?


    <whinge>

    It is deeply depressing to me, just as that the UK is run by a much-loved philandering clown who has a neat turn of phrase and no appetite for making tough decisions. Not only that, he runs the most centralised cabinet ever, with all power for himself, a cabinet full of very junior politicians with no experience, and yet has he never bothered with details.


    As a leader, you trust competent people and delegate, or you handle an enormous number of details yourself (as Margaret Thatcher, for all her faults, did). The UK COVID response shows somone doing neither and therefore adrift.


    Even so, not as embarrassingly appalling as the US response, where a rejection of international cooperation has made the world infinitely more dangerous and increased the soft power of China.


    It seems the Gods, sending COVID now, have chosen a special time for the West.

    </whinge>

  • Most Tokyo Japanese leg it to the doctors if the sneeze twice, I doubt they have many concealed cases.


    Correctomundo. It is also considered antisocial not to go to the doctor with coronavirus. I believe there are two groups of people with hidden cases:


    Asymptomatic people who do not realize they are sick. Experts disagree about how many there might be. Apparently, there are not many because there are few untraceable cases.


    NHK tells us there are a few lazy patients who just don't want to bother going to the doctor. Plus foolish people who decide to get on a long-haul bus or go to live music nightclubs even though they are sick. Or that batty young woman who somehow walked out of the Narita Airport quarantine and took another airplane home. The names are not reported.

  • We have two types of nursing in Sweden nursing homes and mobile nurses for weak elderly. These elderly people comprises of 75% of all swedish

    corona deaths. It is annoying that they could be avoided by having good nursing safety practices. I think that this problem is similar to many other

    countries e.g. we as society tendency to not spend on this group. It has been telling when an ambulance come to get a patient at a nursery, then the ambulance personnel arrived with full safety gears and was met with the nursery personnel with no safety gears at all. It's an outright incompetence from the elderly care units to have not addressed this issue. Anyhow it remind me of the challenger accident where the blame was on the engineer not explaining his data hard enough, although the boss was incompentent as he could not understand statistics, but it is the engineers responsibility to call attention to danger and be persistent. My company is training us into avoiding the Challanger trap constantly as the ask us to report safety risk and not look the other way. Anyhow this means that with a better care, we would be around 100 deaths / milllion atm in sweden which is in the range of Denmark fraction of deaths which did not have the same problem with their nurseries. And considering that the spread was such that trace and track become impossible the outcome is pretty ok.

  • I mentioned that Native American are suffering in disproportionate numbers. In the U.S., the Navajo Nation now has the highest per capita rate of infection, surpassing New York. See:


    https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/18…tion-rate-trnd/index.html


    "Multiple reasons for increased spread

    . . . Another reason for the large number of cases is that multiple generations live in one home, Nez said.


    'When one person gets Covid, goes home, they turn to infect the rest of the family,' Nez said.


    Additionally, 30% to 40% of residents do not have running water, Nez said. That prevents everyone from being able to wash their hands as often as recommended.

    Another challenge: the nation is a 'food desert' . . ."



    (For people unfamiliar with third world living conditions, "no running water" means they depend on a well with a bucket. Probably not a stream. They have a privy. You can wash your hands, or the dishes, but it is a lot of work. Having water pumped in from a well is "running water." In most U.S. states, houses must have running water and flush toilets and a septic system, by law. In Japan these things were still optional in the 1970s, and many people still lack flush toilets.)



    On May 15 they expanded "COVID-19 testing, contact tracing, and case management programs . . ." So they are doing the right things.


    https://www.ndoh.navajo-nsn.go…eCjxnwCHyyDaoDIRDhw%3d%3d




    I sure hope the South American indigenous population is not infected.


    I saw an interview with Jane Goodall. She is doing all she can to protect the chimpanzee population from the coronavirus. They have closed the major parks. Years ago the chimpanzees were hit with polio from humans. I think she said several died, but they managed to vaccinate enough to stop the infection.

  • UK is run by a much-loved philandering clown


    What would Maggie Thatcher have done? She was never one for turning..

    Perhaps the UK needs a woman prime minister?

    What Do Countries With The Best Coronavirus Responses Have In Common? Women Leaders


    https://www.forbes.com/sites/a…men-leaders/#46d901773dec


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  • "a woman PM?"

    Of course Belgium proves the generalisation false... Sophie ,,,


    wat jammer


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  • Still no answer. And what about the lab marker found in the RNA ?? 99% is far off as a potential virus source.its well explained. A constructed virus would use a well known base. not everything mitated.

    as potholer sais quote please. length of marker and the number of diferent markers searched for. you know that if you do not fixate the remarkemble and just say find me something remarkable you can find shit about everything. the virus is totally mutatade and if it was a result of advansed hiding we are talking about a very very sick mind not something out of a professional lab. way more probable just somthing from the meat market or bat cave murker which would just swallow and go on if encountered som bat shit while the lab worker would self quarantine itself any slightest shit incident.

  • Looks like the VA leadership was at the White House said that the "VA Study" wasn't their own and it was essentially fake "scientific" news.

    And they use HCQ.


    One set of paid disinformants gone, hundreds more to go -- including most of the media -- when will you pay attention to who's pulling your strings?

  • More on the politically motivated demonization of HCQ ---


    Coronavirus: Politicized "Medicine"

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  • More on the politically motivated demonization of HCQ ---


    Coronavirus: Politicized "Medicine"

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    How many decades will it take for us to realize this is not political at all.


    Are Harvard physicians who write misleading meta-reviews politicians? Is Dr. Fauci a politician? Is Moderna a Politician? Is Gates a Politician? Is the Media a Puppet or a Politician? Is CDC a Politician? Is WHO a politician? They are no politicians, they (and the ones behind them) tell the politicians what to do.


    Do you really think Nancy Pelosi and Joe Biden are issuing secret statements on HCQ to score political points? Joe Biden is behind this!


    It is amazing how one level of indirection can throw off the human race.

  • Navid:


    (1) HCQ obviously is political in the US. Became so ever since a certain politician made unwise and incorrect claims about its efficacy


    (2) Conspiracy theories, whether direct or indirect, make bad science. Sure, "some wealthy evil cabal of people are running the world" is more plausible than "aliens are running the world".


    Let me suggest to you what actually happens. Wealthy people in the US have a lot of power. Money buys elections. Look at Trump. If you want a "money rules the system" script, then consider the way that the capitalist regulatory framework has led to enormous increase in asset prices after 2008. It need not be this - but wealthy people with capital do not like stock markets to go down, and the genuine political argument that stock markets going down causes problems can be harnessed even when it leads to obviously unsustainable and bad for society results.


    None of this is because anyone is evil - it is just that if you are a high paid CEO the argument that higher pay is needed to match other high paid CEOs seems good and ever-increasing pay results. And so on.


    Conspiracies about Gates are weird in the extreme - I can't imagine a rich person more transparent. Also, as rich people go, he is one of the angels, realising that vast wealth should be spent on public goods.

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