The daily deaths in the U.S. are down sharply. This is good news. Partly, anyway. I think the reasons are:
- Therapies are improving, so more patients are surviving. I have read that the use of ventilators is way down. It turned they often killed patients. Better, less invasive ways to sustain breathing have been devised. Different equipment is being used. That's good!
- The patients are younger, so fewer die. Not so good, but at least they are alive. The absolute number of older patients is also increasing, but deaths are not in the same proportion, so maybe that points back to reason #1.
- The recent surge in cases came a week or two ago, so maybe deaths have not caught up yet. Bad.
- In Georgia and some other states with major outbreaks such as Texas and Florida, there is a considerable lag in reporting cases, especially on weekends. Bad. This weekend delay affects the stats for the entire U.S. You can smooth it with the 7-day rolling average function.
You can see the adjustments for the reporting delays, and for reporting adjustments, in two new graphs in the Georgia COVID-19 Dashboard:
Confirmed cases by date of symptom onset* in Georgia
Confirmed deaths by day of death in Georgia
"Here, new deaths from coronavirus are shown by the date they occurred, as reported by DPH. But because there is a lag between the date of death and the date DPH reports it, more recent data is likely to be adjusted upward in the future.
While DPH may adjust the number of deaths from any date, the dashed line and lighter colored bars represent the window when the most adjustments are likely to occur, according to our analysis."