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Many of these problems arise when good calorimetry is not in place. I agree that is certainly still a major issue with the Ni "furnace" efforts, in many cases. When you critique "20 year history" are you also saying this of McKubre's work? And Storms? You mention Mizuno, although you seem to place that in the context of Ni furnace efforts.... are there the same flaws in all of those as well? I suspect you over generalize your adverse case. By definition, you exclude any evidence to the contrary when you state "there is no experimental evidence that stands up...'. It cannot be quite so clear, although I understand your position. It appears that you begin with the assumption that CF / LENR cannot work.
I suspect it is likely easy to pick on specific situations and in retrospect criticize one or another of the ad hoc and/or poorly funded efforts that any worker may have produced over the years. And thereby tar with the same brush anything else they may have produced in a more studied and cautious and perhaps more well-funded manner. Fortunately, most of us posting here, and a wider number of informed members of the general public are reaching a tipping point where "over unity" is not so widely regarded as a disreputable mistake...Longview
The Japanese transmutation claims are from Mitsubishi researchers, they are the subject of patent applications and are not so strange here at the Forum.
It does seem very odd to have such a high percentage conversion to Ni62, although something similar may have been reported subsequently. We need to remember the sampling of the Lugano reactor has since been noted as "a scraping from the deposits on the inside wall".
Have you the numbers in MeV for say some sort of "tetra neutron" absorption by Ni58? And, is that an impressive number or not? I see no decay emission for any step down between Ni62 and Ni58 in my admittedly brief "Table of the Isotopes" from the CRC Handbook. I notice the position of Ni on the curve of binding energy does not seem likely to give a high per nucleon yield-- but the macroscopic view of that curve at Ni may be ininformative. What is the actual predicted yield of such fusion(s)?
I notice you are not mentioning Pd deuterium systems, which I did also mention prominently, since those are the ones that have endured over 25 years of scrutiny and are now much more well understood. It is relatively easy to be dismissive about the attempts to replicate Rossi's presumed and actual claims. Since Rossi has never been forthcoming with details, since he has been associated with questionable and energy-related promotions in the past, and since the possible "replications" so far have been based on incomplete or ad hoc information.... it is lttle surprise that the results have been modest to non-existent (and that might even apply to Rossi's work, we don't really know. However there are many enthusiastic "replicators" now, and a growing body of empirical findings through which these new Ni, Li protium efforts can, and are being refined.
Your focus on a COP of "1.07" may come, if I am not mistaken, from your own recalculations. Let's look at that for a brief moment. If one says "10%" error, that may actually apply only to the excess heat component of the calculation, so the one sigma or two sigma (I don't know the quality of the "10%" result may be 1.06 to 1.08 or even 1.065 to 1.075 depending on what your "10%" means. So if either of the latter actually constitute the measured situation, then given the crude nature of the efforts, we might well expect that something "in there" might be working with little or no benefit of any thorough engineering or physics inspired optimization. If so, a very modest over-unity number is not to be ignored because of its smallness. If well measured in a properly insulated and more calorimetrically precise context it might be considerably larger. Once any kind of reproducible over unity phenomenon is repeatably observed, then it can be mechanistically studied and the essentials can be distilled into a much higher performance device. Earlier, some of that sort of work had been, and continues to be done with Pd deuterium electrolysis, under the very sparse funding over the last 3 decades (perhaps $50 million total, but in no case more than twice that for the whole field, a handful of corporations and perhaps 8 nation state fundings-- US, GB, India, Japan, France, Russia, Israel, and?). Relatively speaking, the "furnace" efforts with Ni, Li and protium are surely just beginning....Longview.
OK, I am glad I am not making either of those mistakes.... Longview
This is why I specifically included metal insulator junctions. Here are where field strengths should be enormous. It is where numerous quantum anomalies are already known to occur. That is high temperature superconductivity, electron emissions in vacuo, "heavy" electrons, AND several reports with respect to palladium electrodes (for example calcium oxide enhancements), and by deduction may be a factor in some of the more promising Ni, protium, furnace results since alumina and nickel melting are coexisting in some of these experiments....Longview
We need to suspect this is minimal "by definition" again, unfortunately.... Longview
It surely is minimal in a "collisional" physics environment. Perhaps not so in some lattice constrained and transition metal partially filled d-orbital context, particularly near metal oxide boundaries....Longview
[by definition again, I suspect, since the judge and jury in that context is... Thomas Clarke... Longview]
[So as the blinders come off, they will even try LENR because of their new insights...Longview].
[quote]Finally -
Should there be some catalytic way to enhance lattice-based fusion it would be the easiest part of the LENR mechanism. The really extraordinary part is how, after nuclear reactions have occured, somehow: [a couple of worn out Huizenga "miracles" snipped]
Little or no comment here may be necessary. We know there are differences from collisional physics and what has been reported numerous times over decades in CF / LENR efforts.
FreethinkerLENR2 here has just observed anomalous radiation counts. He has made efforts to block them, apparently only lead suffices. Blocking does show they come from his Parkhomov-like apparatus (with the modification of pre-baking the nickel powder). That will be an interesting story and should be repeatable, since there are several other high quality efforts along the same lines and these workers can communicate with one another and with their "public".... (unlike the days of suppressive editing during say the early 90s)...Longview.