JedRothwell Verified User

  • Member since Oct 11th 2014
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  • JedRothwell

    Replied to the thread Covid-19 (WuFlu) News.
    Post
    (Quote from Shane D.)

    Great! Now tell us: How will these Ivory Tower Professors persuade members of the public to leave their houses, go to restaurants, and go back to work, knowing that might kill them. How will they implement this "guidance." Who would…
  • JedRothwell

    Replied to the thread Covid-19 (WuFlu) News.
    Post
    U.S. new cases today increased by a factor of 1.1. That is much better than 1.3, which has been the factor for most of this month. In absolute numbers it was 18,691 where as 1.3 increase would have been 22,391. It is only one day. Let us hope it is the…
  • JedRothwell

    Replied to the thread Covid-19 (WuFlu) News.
    Post
    (Quote from oldguy)

    When the Minister of Health and I say it is stable, we mean it is not increasing exponentially. On March 21 the number of new cases per day peaked at 6,557. The numbers following that are fairly close to 6,000. Whereas if the trend had…
  • JedRothwell

    Replied to the thread Covid-19 (WuFlu) News.
    Post
    (Quote from oldguy)

    It is not going up at the rate of 1.3 times every day. New cases per day not doubling every 3 days. Do you see that?

    If you don't see, use your finger and trace where it would be if it had continued to rise the same rate it was from…
  • JedRothwell

    Replied to the thread Covid-19 (WuFlu) News.
    Post
    (Quote from ZenoOfElea)

    Again let me ask: How can anyone prevent a lock-down? Are you going to tell people: "Please go to the mall. Please spend money and go to work. You may die. You will endanger your relatives, and cause millions of extra deaths, but…
  • JedRothwell

    Post
    (Quote from JedRothwell)


    Correction: 2 people died yesterday, and 2 more today. Yesterday's total was 81. Today it is 80. This has scared the bejeezus out of people, as well it should. If it starts increasing they may have hidden cases, and they may be in…
  • JedRothwell

    Replied to the thread Covid-19 (WuFlu) News.
    Post
    (Quote from oldguy)


    Anyone who looks at the graph will say that. The curve may go up again, but for the past several days it has been stable. Let us hope it stays that way, and then declines. See:

    Daily New Cases in Italy

  • I'm going to offer this without comment. I saw and recorded the videos first hand.

    1) About a month ago, US White House Chief of Staff Mulvaney said to a meeting of conservative politicians that coronavirus was a hoax generated by the opposing party to…
  • JedRothwell

    Post
    (Quote from Shane D.)


    Lives will be disrupted for as long as the pandemic rages. Nature will decide this, not us. As long as patients are dying in large numbers, people will be afraid to go out. You cannot end the shut-down while thousands of people get…
  • Taiwan CECC

    CECC confirms 15 more imported COVID-19 cases; most cases linked to traveling abroad

    These patients entered Taiwan between March 15 and March 25 and displayed symptoms between March 8 and March 25.
    Most of these patients had traveled to the…
  • JedRothwell

    Replied to the thread Covid-19 (WuFlu) News.
    Post
    (Quote from oldguy)


    The Minister of Health said that.
  • JedRothwell

    Replied to the thread Covid-19 (WuFlu) News.
    Post
    (Quote from oldguy)


    Most people dying today were infected about 2 weeks ago. That's how long it takes the average patient to die. See:

    https://www.worldometers.info/…onavirus-death-rate/#days

    The infection rate stabilized about a week ago, so the death rate…
  • JedRothwell

    Like (Post)
    (Quote from oldguy)


    Worth pointing out:

    One chinese company has donated tests which have an unnaceptable high false negative rate, making them unusable.

    The overall standard of the in-China testing is probably much better than that or they would not have…
  • JedRothwell

    Replied to the thread Covid-19 (WuFlu) News.
    Post
    (Quote from LeBob)


    It worked for China, the largest country in the world. There is no reason to think cannot scale to any country.

    Italy is the 23rd largest country, by the way. Not small.
  • JedRothwell

    Post
    (Quote from Alan Smith)


    Not really. On Wednesday the governor suggested that people should not go out this weekend. It is two-day voluntary semi-lockdown. She coordinated with mayors * of the suburban cities, who asked everyone to refrain from going to…
  • JedRothwell

    Post
    (Quote from Shane D.)


    Here in the real world, there is no need to destroy our economy. No trade off is needed. The Chinese and Japanese have not destroyed their economies. Even though we botched our response to the pandemic, and we are likely to have…
  • JedRothwell

    Replied to the thread Covid-19 (WuFlu) News.
    Post
    Italy remains stable, thank goodness. This means a nation-wide shutdown can work. At least to some extent. This graph is generated by me, including today's Worldmeters total which is 5,909. The peak was on March 21. It was increasing at 1.2 before that.…
  • JedRothwell

    Post
    (Quote from THHuxleynew)


    I think what they did in Korea and Japan is closer to ideal. They had a big advantage over China: they saw what was coming. They were several weeks behind China. So, they never had to resort to such extreme measures. They did…
  • (Quote from JedRothwell)


    Switzerland had <200 deaths in road accidents last year with 8 Million population. Thus the USA should stay at 8'000. But as you noted they do commute much longer distances albeit the speed limit is lower than in Switzerland.