shows Italy maybe flattening off. So is Iran.
But Spain, France and USA are doubling every 3 days.
That's deaths ... so the testing rate isn't a big factor.
California's shelter in place seems to be working (presuming timely reporting)
+73 cases +1 deaths
My county (Lake) is increasing its lockdown, including closing motels, rv parks, airbnb, camping to bay-area refugees.
So far no cases, but only 40 tested.
I'm not sure if this has been posted
Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance (dated Mar 19)
SIR (Susceptible/Infected/Removed) Epidemic Calculator http://gabgoh.github.io/COVID/index.html
Which Country Has Flattened the Curve for the Coronavirus?
(All on one page)
(Quote from JedRothwell)
1. The Exponential model is relevant only to the early stages, and eventually flattens out.
2. SIR Model
The population is modeled (using chemical reaction equations,…
Via a footnote in https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Virus can remain viable "in aerosols up to 3 hours, up to 4 hours on copper, up to 24 hours on cardboard and up to 2-3 days on plastic and stainless steel" a Princeton study awaiting peer review…
The full presentation set of US Hospitals Association webinar Feb 28 is at
Lawler's "480,000 dead" slide is dated 2/27 and labelled DRAFT
WHO Daily situation reports are at https://www.who.int/emergencie…s-2019/situation-reports/
There are also audio files of daily briefings (and some transcripts) https://www.who.int/emergencie…resources/press-briefings
Today's report says no new countries…