I don't know if these has been posted .. visualizations of Johns Hopkins updated daily

Cases and Cases/Million -- selected International and USA states -- logarithmic scales
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/

https://www.nytimes.com/intera…us-deaths-by-country.html

shows Italy maybe flattening off. So is Iran.

But Spain, France and USA are doubling every 3 days.

That's deaths ... so the testing rate isn't a big factor.

California's shelter in place seems to be working (presuming timely reporting)

+73 cases +1 deaths

My county (Lake) is increasing its lockdown, including closing motels, rv parks, airbnb, camping to bay-area refugees.
So far no cases, but only 40 tested.

I'm not sure if this has been posted

Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance (dated Mar 19)
https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo…nd-the-dance-be9337092b56

links to

SIR (Susceptible/Infected/Removed) Epidemic Calculator http://gabgoh.github.io/COVID/index.html

(Quote from JedRothwell)


1. The Exponential model is relevant only to the early stages, and eventually flattens out.

2. SIR Model
eg
<https://www.medrxiv.org/conten…0.02.26.20028571.full.pdf>

The population is modeled (using chemical reaction equations,…

Via a footnote in https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Virus can remain viable "in aerosols up to 3 hours, up to 4 hours on copper, up to 24 hours on cardboard and up to 2-3 days on plastic and stainless steel" a Princeton study awaiting peer review…

(Quote from oldguy)

(Quote)

The full presentation set of US Hospitals Association webinar Feb 28 is at
https://www.nebraskamed.com/si…prepared-for-covid-19.pdf

Lawler's "480,000 dead" slide is dated 2/27 and labelled DRAFT

WHO Daily situation reports are at https://www.who.int/emergencie…s-2019/situation-reports/
There are also audio files of daily briefings (and some transcripts) https://www.who.int/emergencie…resources/press-briefings

Today's report says no new countries…