THHuxleynew Verified User

(Quote from Wyttenbach)

Again, I must be dim.

Covid has an exponential risk/age graph. I fail to see why these two arbitrary cutoffs are important?

Flu also had exponential death/age characteristic (whenever a new strain emerges)

…

(Quote from RobertBryant)

I must be really dim - or missing some subtextual message here.

What on earth do the unexpected problems with DengVaxia have to do with ivermectin?

(Quote from Alan Fletcher)

That model is based on diagnosed COVID - so it is CFR - higher than IFR but not a lot more now in the US where testing is pretty widespread!

But I like that it is interactive and reasonably complete in terms of comorbidities

Maybe…

Steve Scalise, a senior Republican in the House of Representatives, finally got vaccinated on 17 July, after citing increased cases of hospitalisation and the spread of the highly transmissible delta variant. On 20 July, Mitch McConnell, the Senate…

(Quote from Fm1)

That was in March - low profile - and it does not seems to have done any good. Perhaps he should have been a bit stronger? Trump is quite capable of making points strongly...

Former President Donald Trump on Tuesday recommended Americans…

https://thehill.com/opinion/wh…-lies-are-harming-america

The evidence is incontrovertible. After it looked like we’d finally turned the corner, we’re back in crisis mode. Coronavirus cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are up again, especially as the…

It is marginally relevant to this thread.

I did some digging in answer to FM1s question.

The shift in education level between dem and rep support in the US between 1990 and now is extraodrinary - and it has got larger after Trump:

(Quote from Fm1)

Do you have data for that?
https://www.npr.org/sections/c…black-americans-poll-find



It seems there is very little difference between white and minorities on vaccine hesitancy, whereas - as you well know - the big factor is which party you…

(Quote from Fm1)

Paul is pushing a party-political point - as you well know. Equally - you well know that party's base is anti-science and also anti-expert. Basically - anti Fauci.

It used to be the case that Democrat support was from the poor, Republican…

It seems like Paul is lying about Fauci lying

Don't be surprised - Paul is a US politician up for reelection...

(Quote from Fm1)

That is way out of court. A US politician (from a party that has recently become dramatically anti-science and whose base is…

(Quote from Shane D.)

Glad to hear that Shane. Just a small correction. I consider that everyone here who posts is possibly correct - that includes W whose repetitive insults directed towards me and 99% of the scientific and medical establishment to not…

Hamsters have been the best model so far for showing us any clinical disease,” says Martinot. “They develop weight loss, and they develop a fulminant pneumonia where it’s affecting sometimes over fifty percent of their lung,” she adds. “They…

(Quote from RobertBryant)


This is an interesting paper, and is rare motivation for the very many IVM RCTs being conducted now.

It is a great example of how peer review (usually) increases the quality of papers. Note here the robust but respectful dialog…

The Olympic teams of Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan paraded mostly maskless into Tokyo's Olympic Stadium at the Games opening ceremony on July 23, in stark contrast with all the national teams who had preceded them wearing masks in accordance with COVID-19…

(Quote from Fm1)

FM1 - there have been a few times when you have completely misunderstood me. this is one. Brit sense of humour, eh? What can you do...

(Quote from Mark U)

I guess I admire your certainty. Over these matters of life and death you reckon your old school beliefs are 100% correct - so precautionary principle does not apply.

I don't know what is the real effectiveness of masks, especially…

(Quote from Wyttenbach)

Umm....

W - I realise the UK is now out of the EU and maybe you don't know much about us.

Still - you could read my post showing that a few weeks ago in the UK 50-59 year olds were 96% fully vaccinated. Older ages even higher…

(Quote from THHuxleynew)

W

No answer from you yet, so I thought I'd help.

here is a nice interactive COVID risk calculator:

https://www.economist.com/grap…-mortality-risk-estimator

55 year old male, no health problems, mortality = 0.8%.

Let us see how that…