stefan Verified User
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Posts by stefan

    I say the Mengele award goes to the so called journalist that wrote this anti Ivermectin, and President Bolsonaro hit piece. She is literally trying to scare poor, uneducated Brazilians away from using the one safe, cheap drug (along with Vit D, and HCQ) they have available, that studies show can save their life. Without it, their preventative care is the same as ours....waiting until they are sick enough to go to the hospital, most likely to die.


    Funny also...if you read between the lines, many of those she interviews are using the "drug cocktail", and think it works. If not, at least it is worth the try they say. Sounds like what most of us here concluded well over a year ago.

    I do not get it. Brazil was using these drugs extensivly and still had super high number of cases and deaths back in April. It is not a wonder drug is my conclusion, perhaps improving the odds.

    The link to heart inflamation is suspect but I think it is way to early to jump into conclusions now. The badness is not as bad as getting covid according to this source inflamations and therfore they recommend the vaccine to young ones. The analysis has not yet concluded a relationship between the vaccine and these problems, but professionals seam to think the number of reported cases probably are above normal incidence. Also it is not clear that it is the spike protein that cause it, but they do list it as a possible cause to investigate. We will see what comes.


    Being cautions about the future, well yes today kids do not get sick, but kids both do not get infected as much and at the same time ha less severe issues then elderly. Do you know if these two have the same reason or not? If the reason for this is correlated then it is not unlikely that you both get an uglier virus and more transmittable amongst kids and already today the bad side of covid for young ones are more severe than the potential side effects according to the source linked above. But I will monitor this issue as it develops while we wait, it will take some months before we start getting to those ages in our vaccination programme.

    True, at the moment and authorities here does not recommend vaccinating children due to less testing against the young and the mild case they get when they get it. But, as a father I am concerned now that there is a pressure for the virus to mutate towards either overcome the immune response of the vaccine or to overcome the reasons why children seam to be better to fight off the virus or both. It may happen that suddenly it is starting to spread amongst the young and the deadliness of such mutations is unknown. The Spanish flue event is ringing badly in my ears where the dead ones was mostly amongst the young. I'm leaning towards waiting for new test results though as if the virus changes we do have the vaccine and can vaccinate the young ones if needed, but it will, in that case, be a nerve wracking race.

    Hmm, different quotes are different e.. we have this quite form the fact check article,


    "There is no data that the spike is a toxin," said Dr. Drew Weissman, a vaccine expert and professor of medicine at the University of Pennsylvania.


    So, when experts says this we need to dig out a science paper that states the other, as there seam to be two teams of experts

    here. ...


    then I found this,

    not toxic or?

    Testimonials from Canadian health care professionals about how they are being intimidated from speaking out about what they see, believe, and know. Best is the Viral Immunologist starting at 9:17 :


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    Canada and USA seam to be on another planet. No nurse, doctor or scientists here is complaining that they can't express concerns about problems with the vaccine and all terrifying cases is totally missing from the public eye although we have one of the most open societies in the world and excellent health care and top notch medical research. I have asked around and mild problems do happen but not life threatening. Around 50% of the swedes have gotten the shot so we should have horror stories here as well, but they are totally missing. Maybe the troll fabrics is mainly concentrating to stear a conflict in anglosaxian countries or that politics is too involved in the science in those cultures. The big take away though from the movie clip though was the plea to have an open and sound scientific debate, but with the information war going on and all trolls trying to tease out maniac responses on both sides, does not help a bit. I think the public and economical interests should just stay out of the discussion and let the professional discuss, probably then the virologist would never have had any troubles raising his concern.

    judge for yourself


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    The spike protein problematics is not clear cut as deduced form this fact check not sure what to think though when it comes to young individuals. Certainly if there is a big issue with it we should have tons of nations flagging that the vaccine has problems. I know Sweden independently is monitoring the vaccine and if there is a dramatic effect it should be known by now.

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    Interesting, but I wanted to lookup what scientist had said about the report and found this link,


    discussion


    So in short the statistical method has weaknesses.'

    1. Higher initial viral load in the placebo group which should have been compensated for by randomizing so that the viral load was equalized or at least it should have been compensated for in the statistical analysis.


    2. Many outcomes could be classified as a success, which means that a proper Bonferroni compensation should be used

    when discussing P-values, take 0.05/(number-of-comparisons) in stead of 0.05. Usually one presents all the comparisons

    made and the reader has to do the Bonferoni compensation themself, but less experienced people reading results like this

    just take the P-value in the paper an run with it.


    3. It is unclear if groups was made by looking at the result. This is a cardinal error and if you do it you are ruining your study

    don't do this, if you need to group, then at least do not look at the result but just examine the covariates and make sure you mension it in the paper. Best is to register the test beforehand and have the hypothesis clear from the beginning.


    In all and interesting study but not as strong evidence as one would think.

    I would like a commentary about what Thuxleynew says about publication bias, else this is interesting. I'm after arguments and counter arguments and found this link that discusses why India is recovering and is against the hypothesis that it is due to medication. I do not see that they are dishonest, they seam to be open about it and think that there is not enough proof yet. Well see, the study you linked seam to indicate that there is an effect. Actually maybe an even better strategy than taking Ivermectin, is to go vegan, a study taken up by the news here say that vegans have 75% less risk of getting a tough covid. But sure as hell this is a correlation and no proof, maybe vegans care about health more then other people, doing proper social distancing, masks etc and get a small dose of covid when they catch it.

    It is always good to wait for commentary from both sides.


    First, the media hype that covid is a gain of function result seam to be based on arguments that is really not that strong as indicated in the recent news. I used this discussion to get the pro and cons of it, redit discussion


    Secondly the new mail publishing was really not as damning for Fauci as the republican news commentary make it. But the effect is that a lot of right wingers now go around angry thinking bad bad Fauci. I am of the view that if you collect a lot of mails from essentially anybody you will with some imagination find damning facts that are really just weakly circumstantial. I've seen it happen for our Swedish lead figure regarding the outbreak, and it looks like it is now happens to Fauci.


    As, to me, classic example of these kind of fact, was the cam recording from one of the US counting rooms and there normal operation could with the right commentary become damning facts. That's what you get with pattern matching imagination and fact fishing expeditions.

    One thing I would like to mention. Taking out wind energy is physically also lowering the global temperature. Will be interesting if we see such effects. "Stopping" air circulation results in hotter region staying warmer an vice versa. So there will be also an effect on backward radiation.

    Not only this, the heat pump, the golf stream, that gives so much life to Europe is claimed to be weaken and if that happen then things can really get nasty. Unbearable heat near the equator probably and something much cooler where I live.

    Re magnetic bodies,


    Saw a news discussion of it, One of the reporters could stick a key to their forehead who have not taken any vaccine so this

    stickiness can happen without vaccine and on other places. It is not strange that this feature is dismissed. We need new physics

    for it to be magnetic. Current physics tells us that you'll be dead before becoming magnetic. Probably just sticky forces, and some

    kind of skin effect.


    People seam to be very amused by this finding.

    I always understood that the fringe theory regarding the lab leak has always been against a human constructed

    virus and not that it could have escaped form the lab from a collected sample. When you read about what the experts

    said you would get the impression that Covid 19 seam to have evolved naturally. Now there are some new evidences

    but I am still skeptical. Again the reason I am so weary is that statistical methodologies has not been reported when

    performing the analysis. So people go out hunting for rarities, finding patterns is touted as only positive, but fail at explaining

    the most basic principle. That you should before looking at the data write down that we are looking for x,y,z and then look

    at the data. The reason is that although you find a rare genetic combination if all you do is look for rare combinations

    you do not how many you would accept as a rarity. To illustrate if you find a combination that happens 1 in 1000 and

    you accept 1000 such rare combination as rare you will typically find a rare combination in each and other sample. It is

    sad state of science and society that these principles outside the medical community is under used and that lead to

    good evidences essentially becomes ruined. This happen in physic theoretical science where one does not keep a strict

    methodology on comparing theory and new improved measurement. It seam to happen in this man made covid 19 story.

    Perhaps they do use correct methodology, for that we need to wait for the publication.


    It is telling that journalists say that good ability of pattern matching is a super power. Tell you a secrete, it's a curse.

    I have a friend that has epoch with psychosis and it is obvious after visiting him, that his pattern matching ability

    is super sensitive. The issue is that you need to evaluate your finding and judge them correctly, which is hard without

    good procedures and the most probably reason we as humans filter out and hides most of the patterns the brain pick

    up from our consciousness.


    So until I get to understand the true nature of findings I remain skeptical of anything that is counter to what domain expert

    says and extremely skeptical to non experts sleuthing.


    Maybe I'm too skeptical, but as I help with statistical analysis in medical research, I tend to get more and more sensitive to these

    issues and today view basically the main benefit of someone expert in statistics as to police the researcher to become more careful

    of how they manage the data and the findings in order not to destroy evidences and make sure they can argue in a correct way why

    they see a connection in the data.


    That said, we do have problems with the investigation of the lab leak in many human levels. It is not a left-right thing though, as it

    seams to be rooted in scientist trying to avoid their career being ruined and journalists and politicians should certainly look into this problem.

    Some more movies from BrLP, looks ready to hook into the steam pipes.

    BrLP Link


    People are calling it a scam. Really have you ever seen a scam come this far?? Anyway I would like to

    heat a bath for longer periods with that steam to evaluate what practical COP they have. Possibly so low that

    it is not cheaper than heating it with fuel, who knows. Anyhow a COP > 1 + e is revolutionary (e is heat of burning

    hydrogen) and we can rule out splashing.

    Question to our very experts here: is there any valid data available for a comparison of so called "death rates" with other common vaccinations against seriuous viral or bacterial infections / deseases?

    Not sure if the other vaccinations have significant less side effects among the vaccinated people (less than few cases per 10 million?)....

    a few cases per 10 million is really really small and typically you are more probable to get killed in a traffic accident so it is kind of splitting hairs to discuss this matter and it is obvious that this discussion of these cases have made people go bananas over basically nothing.

    As I said I know these people analyzing the data, if there is an obvious risk, that would be known by know. Just looking in a database and then concluding there is a massive risk indicates that experts that work for a living analyzing these types of data should have pushed the allert button long time ago. So you are most probably wrong if it so simple to find. On the other hand if you introduce a new novel way to view the data that exposes the risk in a much better way wen we are talking, but then you need to explain your algorithm better.

    I do not get it. Millions of Swedish people have gotten the vaccine and the effect on the population is carefully monitored by authorities

    where professionals are analyzing the result. For the experts to at this point to miss an obvious danger of vaccines is really really unlikely.

    subtle risks yes but not obvious ones that's really out of the question.

    I as far as I understand the trapped photon is a time varying EM fields without any charges. What holds the in place is the Em forces in combination with the mass centripetal force.

    Somehow, which is a mystery to me, the EM fields of the trapped electron increases the attractive forces or eqvivalently it is as if the charge is increased with some factor. Not sure

    what's true but that has been my interpretation of hydrinos which is very weakly explained in the book in my mind. Charges (if for the sake of argument assume is 1D world) are really

    a cusp in the potential field e.g. the derivative of the field has a jump, and the second derivative is a dirac measure. I believe photons has a cusp in the force fields and the second

    derivative has a jump at the electron shell, hence no charge.


    Anyhow, things are really unclear and hard to understand in my view.