QuoteI just wonder why Yugo and Clarke tirelessly continue their constant sceptic replies to all people here on this blog. Why are they doing this? We know what their point of view is and if we are wrong they can say: 'we have told you over and over again'. If they were clever than it would suffice to copy just on every argument: 'I do not believe it' and do nice things for the rest of the day. It seems that they are not clever or that some other thing drives them. Maybe they just want to play the Devils Advocate? Or maybe they are payed for doing this? The latter would be stupid, because it serves no purpose. Especially being rude like Yugo often has a tendency for, is totally unproductive, so I would qualify Yugo just as being stupid. However, I like Clarke's arguments, because that keeps us sharp and we should be open for other views. Just some questions to Clarke: If at some day LENR proves to be true, would you admit? What kind of proof do you need to be convinced?
Gerald. I deplore this type of argument, which is an ad hom. You are saying that you don't understand the motives of those here arguing opposite to you - and sort of implying that they must have some moral defect.
Pots and kettles come to mind, given what many people would think about people who are internet fans. But more importantly your speculation here destroys real debate - because people become focussed on characters (since we are all different there are no easy generalisations and this is highly unreliable) rather then the arguments themselves.
Furthermore, if a master-criminal posts a correct proof of a maths problem on the internet it does not become less correct because of his other criminal activities.
I think, in particular, that anyone thinking they can second guess the opinion of most scientists on this issue should be confident that they themselves can scrutinise arguments in detail, and therefore are in the happy position of being able to treat arguments on their merits rather than first guessing the motives of the arguer.
That, anyway, is what I do as a matter of course. And I believe it makes for more productive communication.
Re proof. I've said this a number of times, and I don't differ from most people in this. Also, I find it weird that this question is so often asked of skeptics when the obvious anomaly is that those who support LENR go on doing so no matter what the negative evidence...
(1) a bulletproof scientific paper - where the measurements were carefully described and controlled - and the results extraordinary (heat excess 10X chemical say). Getting such a paper first time round in any experiment is almost impossible, but one lab repeating work could do it fairly easily if the effect were real.
this would not be proof - but it woukd be highly interesting - cause lots of replication - and it would alter my views of what is likely.
(2) Black box testing of any LENR device by independent and reputable testers. That means a high quality university, NASA, etc lab - working within its area of competence - not just an individual working at such an institution. A team from a decent institution would carry a lot of weight.
(3) working commercial products (where they clearly have extraordinary properties).
(4) [This is generous] MFMP find a bulletproof experiment they think is replicable. OK, MFMP are amateur but they started with very good intentions, have had some experience now of discovering their own false positives, and I'd view a positive result from them that stayed positive for 6 months as significant. (Apart from anything else MFMP will respond to criticism from third parties, there are enough skilled who would criticise such a test). MFMP are the best model for LENR research sanity given that most LENR researchers opt out of the normal review process by not writing adequately careful papers. Mostly this is because they just do not do adequately controlled and instrumented experiments, or when they do the results are not of interest. MFMP have a better attitude - at least they are trying to do proper experiments!
For example:
BLP Rowan test. Institution is not reputable. Testing was by individual. Results were not clearly above chemical.
MIT/NANOR. Results are not clearly above chemical + error. Individual experimenter without backing of team qualifies in calorimetry and able to critique anomalies etc.
Lugano test. Scientists working unofficially and without relevant expertise. Previous "independent" test shares thes eproblems and also was in lab of inventor using his apparatus.
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You will see I am quite easily convinced. Now: let me turn this round. What will convince you that LENR is highly likely not real?