QuoteIt is interesting that we have a problem even if both ash samples were genuine. For the 2011 sample there is no viable reaction that could give excess energy! If the active reaction in Lugano were Ni-->62Ni (which would give some energy), one could conclude that the E-Cat and the Hot-Cat use completely different reactions for producing heat. How likely is it that Rossi has found not one but two different routes to LENR?
And yet another unlikelihood - suppose there is some reaction. It must be highly exothermic looking at the nucleon masses for the relevant possible nuclei. The energy released is some 10X higher than the highest possible even given errors from the Lugano measurements.
So we have that the isotopic analysis must be highly atypical of the whole sample, with most of the Ni not so converted, but that measured 99% converted. It is a matter of plausibility, which those who argue this isotopic evidence is somehow good ignore.
What gets me is we have all these different contraindications each of which is very strong and they are all independent - every one of these objections must somehow be disposed of in order for the isotopic results to be meaningful.