The claimed success rate for LENR experiments is so low, that it is indistinguishable from the probability of committing a major error . . .
Claimed by who? You? Where did you get that number?
The claimed success rate for tritium by Will et al. was 4 out of 4 active tests, 0 out of 4 control tests, and 0 out of 150 unused samples. The chances of flipping a coin to get 4 head followed by 4 tails is 1 in 256. Do you want to bet on that?
As shown by the ENEA and McKubre, success is correlated with measured physical charactoristics. It is not random. It is no coincidence.
Miles reported: "For our 33 experiments involving heat and helium measurements, excess heat was measured in 21 cases and excess helium was observed in 18 studies. Thus 12 experiments yielded no excess heat and 15 measurements gave no excess helium." The probability that was a coincidence is 1 in 750,000. Do you want to bet on that??