[SPLIT]Older LENR Experiments were bad, good... in general

  • http://lenr-canr.org/acrobat/Fleischmancalorimetra.pdf


    Jed, i'm a bit surprised you pick this paper?


    The results here consist of two claims:


    (1) Claims of excess heat at lower temperatures which are not so compelling: but if you consider they are we will look at them in detail. My math is I think up to it.


    (2) Vague claims of excess heat during a runaway event with no detail where there are many unconsidered issues and the results are clearly unsafe.


    It is not really a paper describing new results, more a paper discussing calorimetric methods. Which is fine, but not what is called for here.


    It has been discussed a bit here before. Do really consider this what justifies your very strong claim above - that all the scientists not convinced by this work are biassed, stupid, or ignorant? If so I'd be happy to look at it again.

  • Quote

    Other methods of calorimetry have been used to confirm the effect. I think every major method listed in Hemminger and Hohne have been used. It is not possible that every major method of calorimetry has major errors that experts are unaware of.


    Did Storms get any long term high energy results with his various experiments with various Seebeck Effect calorimeters? Sorry if this is a repeat request but I don't recall the answer. And I suppose, if not, why not?


    It's not possible indeed that every major method has major errors. It is however very possible that isoperibolic calorimetry has major errors when used with very low levels of heat production and/or comparatively brief experiments. Many other sources of experimental errors in LENR have been extensively discussed by others and are related to exothermic reactions of various types within the reagents -- not limited to traditional chemical reactions. I don't know much about those but Thicket (who is a nickel-hydrogen application/process expert big time and has been for decades) and "Popeye"/Cude have written about this extensively as have others. Not my area though so I won't argue it.

  • Quote

    Because scientists have been measuring reaction on this scale with confidence for 235 years, I think the skeptical claims that this is too difficult to measure with confidence, or that the measurements are unreliable and so on are far fetched. I think people who say such things know nothing about calorimetry.


    That is a challenge I can engage with. First, the general point does not follow. All depends on detail, and I believe these LENR experiments have very particular details introducing issues not seen before in the 235 year history. Also, many calorimetrists are not convinced by these experiments so the argument from 235 year authority does not wash.


    More specifically, we have (given that you I believe know something about calorimetry, and I enjoy learning new things) a question of whether, without appeal to authority, we can reach any conclusion, positive or negative, on the validity of this experiment.

  • Quote

    McKubre is easier to understand


    I'd like us to look at the strongest evidence. Not that which has most "dramatic effect", and if too complex for me to understand I'll have to admit that you (who perhaps have better maths than me) may well be right.


    Do you still go for the Fleischmann paper?

  • (1) Claims of excess heat at lower temperatures which are not so compelling: but if you consider they are


    If you do not find the results compelling I think it is a waste of your time to read the paper carefully. To put it another way, if you do not find the results compelling, I do not think you do not understand them.


    (2) Vague claims of excess heat during a runaway event with no detail where there are many unconsidered issues and the results are clearly unsafe.


    I find nothing vague about these results, but again, if you do, I suggest you ignore them. There are other papers about the boil off events, but there is no point to reading about them if you reject them out of hand before you start, as "vague." Boiling and phase transitions have been well understood by chemists for a long time, so I do not understand why you find them vague, but you do, so forget it.


    I do not see what safety has to do with scientific merit. An above-ground nuclear bomb test is unsafe but it proves the reaction is real, and that it exceeds the limits of chemistry -- which is also what cold fusion experiments do. These experiments were safe as far as I know. I suppose safety would depend on the laboratory setting and equipment in which they were conducted.


    It is not really a paper describing new results,


    The author is dead, so you cannot expect new results from him.


    As I said, as far as I know, the skeptics have not published any papers critiquing Fleischmann, McKubre, Miles or the others. They have groused, as you do, without making many falsifiable claims. It is hard to know how Fleischmann could respond to the notion that a phase change (boiling) is "vague." It seems fundamental to me. But anyway, while there have been no formal critiques, here is an analysis of some of the informal critiques that have circulated regarding isoperibolic calorimetry. Perhaps you will find it useful. It may answer some of the questions you raise:


    http://lenr-canr.org/acrobat/B…Pjcondensedl.pdf#page=402

  • Quote

    I find nothing vague about these results, but again, if you do, I suggest you ignore them.


    could we be more precise? Which set of results do you refer to? For the boil-off eyecatching excess heat results there is an extraordinary lack of detail and consideration don't you think? perhaps vague is the wrong word, would you prefer incomplete?


    Which set of results here are you claiming is so secure? We can then investigate that in detail.


    I find, myself, that ignoring things when others contest them is not a good idea. But full consideration of this is going to take some time because details matter and there are a lot of details in the earlier data.

  • McKubre is easier to understand



    I'd like us to look at the strongest evidence.


    That is a matter of opinion. Carefully considered, scientifically based opinion.


    Do you still go for the Fleischmann paper?


    I suggest you read several papers by both, and also papers by Miles and Storms, and the first book by Storms. Also the review by McKubre:


    http://lenr-canr.org/acrobat/McKubreMCHcoldfusionb.pdf


    I suggest that you read 20 or 30 papers and some books. Read them carefully, with an open mind. You may need to read some textbooks on electrochemistry or calorimetry. I recommend Hemminger and Hohne for the latter. Give some thought to the subject for a reasonable amount of time, say six months. Then you may know enough to judge the results.


    If you intend to read one paper and based on that, you hope to judge whether cold fusion is real or not, I think you are wasting your time. I have seen other people do that. You can read the 2004 DoE reviewers' statements when they tried to do that. That is a parlor game, not science. In your first reading of McKubre or any other paper, you will make many, many stupid mistakes, and you will jump to unwarranted conclusions. Unless you happen to be an electrochemist or someone with years of experience doing calorimetry, you are certain to misunderstand and get it wrong. In 1989 and 1990, nearly all of the world-class top experts in electrochemistry (around 100 people) successfully replicated Fleischmann and Pons. They got it right, because they knew what they were doing, and they knew a lot about the subject. You don't know a lot, and you are not in any position to make snap judgments about what they did. So if that is what you plan to do, don't bother.

  • Other methods of calorimetry have been used to confirm the effect. I think every major method listed in Hemminger and Hohne have been used. It is not possible that every major method of calorimetry has major errors that experts are unaware of.


    Sono-fusion is LENR on demand, easy to measure and simple to understand.
    That's why especially THH doesn't like the irrefutable work of Stringham. Thus I post it again.


    Here the latest overview paper of the Stringham : iscmns.org/CMNS/JCMNS-Vol15.pdf#page=62


    Already in 1995 LANL - Los Alamos National Laboratory confirmed the ratio heat/bubble=He produced. (JED told us, many times, about this fact too...) Stringham counted the cavitation/fusion bubbles, which are in line with the heat produced. As the maximum COP is close to 4, we also must not discuss about marginal significance... Read conclusion point 5. The other measurement is the photon count of the Bremsstrahlung (fig.5) which clearly indicates the nature/intensity of the process.


    Sono-fusion is LENR, albeit the underlaying process is more like hot-fusion!!! Thus it is politically very risky to discuss these facts ... More experimental details are given in the older paper: lenrcanr.org/acrobat/StringhamRlowmassmhz.pdf


    and more actual with COP: lenr-canr.org/acrobat/StringhamRwhenbubble.pdf

  • Quote

    I suggest that you read 20 or 30 papers and some books. Read them carefully, with an open mind. You may need to read some textbooks on electrochemistry or calorimetry. I recommend Hemminger and Hohne for the latter. Give some thought to the subject for a reasonable amount of time, say six months. Then you may know enough to judge the results.


    With respect Jed, I'm not yet judging result. Your response to my initial remarks is an appeal to (your) authority. But if my comments are wrong you can just tell me you disagree without resort to such an appeal. When a paper is peer reviewed it is specific comments on the paper that matter, and replies, not whether of not participants in this process have spent 6 months reading other papers.


    How about this. If I say things that show there are subtle details (or gross details) I misunderstand, you can point out which statement I make is wrong, with a detailed reason that will educate me. If I don't understand your reasons then I will realise I need more backgroud to do a critical appraisal of this one paper (which may be).

  • It's not possible indeed that every major method has major errors. It is however very possible that isoperibolic calorimetry has major errors when used with very low levels of heat production and/or comparatively brief experiments.


    These are not "very low levels of heat production." As I said, Lavoisier and Laplace were measuring these levels of heat production in 1781, with good reproducibility and enough precision and accuracy to detect many cold fusion reactions with confidence. (They were measuring guinea pig metabolism, which happens to be roughly on the same scale as cold fusion often is. They correlated the heat with CO2 production by the animals, and showed that the ratio of heat to CO2 was the same as it is with combustion.)


    The experiments are not brief. Most of them run for weeks. Some have run for 3 months, producing heat continuously the entire time. At no time in the history of science would several weeks be considered "brief." Your characterizing them as "brief" has no logical or factual basis. You just made that up, I think.


    A "brief" experiment with modern instruments would last for milliseconds. Or perhaps for 6 seconds, which is how long tokomak tests used to last. Do you dismiss tokomak fusion results because the experiments last less than a minute?

  • Quote

    Sono-fusion is LENR on demand, easy to measure and simple to understand.That's why especially THH doesn't like the irrefutable work of Stringham. Thus I post it again.


    Do you have evidence I "don't like it"?


    When you last posted it there was a confusing argument between LENR supporters about whether it was good evidence. I'll stand by Jed on this. If he believes that paper is stronger evidence we will go with it.


    To look at any one of these papers in enough detail ourselves will take time and patience. if you want 2dramatic effect" no doubt sound bites will be enough. For example, my initial comments on the Fleischmann paper were not definitive, i did not substantiate them. I was wanting to know what Jed really felt was strong evidence.

  • With respect Jed, I'm not yet judging result


    Yes, you are. You said that a phase change result is vague. I disagree.


    Your response to my initial remarks is an appeal to (your) authority.


    That is incorrect for two reasons. First, I cite other people, not my own authority. Second, you do not understand the definition of the logical fallacy sometimes called "appeal to authority." You mistakenly think that pointing to actual authorities in a field constitutes this error. That is not the case. Pointing to actual authorities such as Fleischmann and Bockris is a valid argument. The error your refer to would only apply if I pointed to non-experts or people who are not qualified.


    The error is more properly called: Fallacious Appeal to Authority, Misuse of Authority, Irrelevant Authority, Questionable Authority, Inappropriate Authority, Ad Verecundiam. See:


    http://www.nizkor.org/features…/appeal-to-authority.html

  • Quote

    These are not "very low levels of heat production." As I said, Lavoisier and Laplace were measuring these levels of heat production in 1781, with good reproducibility and enough precision and accuracy to detect many cold fusion reactions with confidence. (They were measuring guinea pig metabolism, which happens to be roughly on the same scale as cold fusion often is.


    We are still on the level of preliminary remarks, without cutting to the detail of the paper, but I cannot let this rest.


    In an open electrolytic, cell generating H2 (or D2) and O2, and reaching boiling point, we are in a completely different domain from at least two different issues (maybe there are more, when I look at details):

    • H2+O2 recombination
    • boiling and calibration changes from that


    You will no doubt want to say that these issues have all been considered. But that will take is to details. I'm making the point here that your preliminary general statements do not make your case yet.

  • Sono-fusion is LENR on demand, easy to measure and simple to understand.
    That's why especially THH doesn't like the irrefutable work of Stringham.


    Strinham has not been independently replicated as far as I know. Some people think his calorimetry is weak, for reasons beyond the scope of the discussion. I would not call his work irrefutable.

  • Quote

    That is incorrect for two reasons. First, I cite other people, not my own authority. Second, you do not understand the definition of the logical fallacy sometimes called "appeal to authority." You mistakenly think that pointing to actual authorities in a field constitutes this error.


    You are highlighting the opinion of a few experts who are committed to LENR and have strong views on this issue. They have views different from other experts not so committed. In this situation appeal to experts is not helpful.


    In general I tend to go with experts. They are usually right. But here, if we go with expert consensus, the opinion is against LENR. So we need something more than an appeal to one set or the other.


    For example, in the work on climate balance there is a wide variety of expert opinion. You can go with the consensus (as IPCC does) or you can cite as authority a few qualified people with outlying views. In this case that would be the LENR lot. However, I take the point that LENR is so fringe that we don't have much of a consensus on it - most of the mainstream scientists just don't bother to look at it in the absence of new high quality peer reviewed evidence. So something else is needed.

  • Some people think his calorimetry is weak, for reasons beyond the scope of the discussion. I would not call his work irrefutable.



    Who are the some people??


    The calorimetry is simple, because You can start/stop the reaction any microsecond You like. His setup works like a simple coffee water heater. Run it one minute and measure T... But we can argue about the wrong thermometer...

  • We are still on the level of preliminary remarks, without cutting to the detail of the paper, but I cannot let this rest.


    In an open electrolytic, cell generating H2 (or D2) and O2, and reaching boiling point, we are in a completely different domain from at least two different issues (maybe there are more, when I look at details):
    H2+O2 recombination
    boiling and calibration changes from that


    Most cells do not reach the boiling point. Most are held in a narrow range of temperatures, around 30 deg C.


    H2 and O2 recombination occurs outside the cell (in an open cell) or in the headspace (in a closed cell). It can be measured and accounted for with high precision in either system. It never occurs in the electrolyte and it does not raise the temperature of the cell as a whole any more than electrolysis does -- by definition, it can't. Obviously, it contributes no heat to an open cell. You can easily measure the deficit from it, during a calibration.


    In a closed cell, calibration is always performed with recombination. You can't avoid doing that; you can't turn off recombination. Obviously, if a boil off experiment is planned, calibration is always performed with a null boil-off. So the experiment never encounters a "completely different domain." It is always done in the domain that was calibrated for.


    There are boiling cell experiments, as noted. Both boil off ones, and ones that continuously boil for weeks or months. However, it is not inherently difficult to understand these, or analyze them. Boiling reactions can be accounted for with great accuracy. People have studied the vaporization of liquids in detail for a long time. It is well understood.

  • I believe these LENR experiments have very particular details introducing issues not seen before in the 235 year history [of calorimetry].





    Errrrm, that's kind of the point? :)

  • Jed - those comments are all good summaries, but do not address the details. We need results which get all of these things right and have no other issues. When asked for this, you posted the Fleischmann paper:

    • quoting results when boiling
    • open cell
    • other issues.


    I agree that others have done better after this, which is one reason I was a little surprised you quoted Fleishmann originally. Do you still wish us to stick with F, or would you rather we look in detail at some other data?

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