I'm seeing live data on the dashboard : https://freeboard.io/board/MwMhlL
me356: Photos of AURA control unit
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Now that is some live science! Awesome display. Can not help but compare to Doral. Rossi and Penon are stone age compared to MFMP.
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Hopefully they got the rolling average COP formula right, ie not just a rolling average of the instant COP
Should be weighted by flow?
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Hopefully they got the rolling average COP formula right, ie not just a rolling average of the instant COP
Due to time limitations the COP rolling average was implemented as a simple ~10 minute rolling average of the instant COP. Other methods can be used in post processing.
LENR Calender Do you have a suggested calculation for us?
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The important thing is that the presence of thermal inertia in the calorimeter means that the power output you're seeing at the present moment is the result of something that happened X minutes ago, where "X" is the time constant of the calorimeter. That means you don't really have an instantaneous power-out, which prevents any instantaneous power-out/power-in quasi-COP calculation from being possible. Instead what you end up having is a calculation that combines something a little bit like an instantaneous power-out from X minutes ago with the instantaneous power-in from right now, which is confusing, because the two values are not necessarily closely related.
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LENR Calender Do you have a suggested calculation for us?
Not LENR Calender but use Total Energy IN [last 10 minutes] and Total Energy Out Estimate [last 10 minutes]. Not perfect but response time of system seems to be well under 1 minute so 10 minutes is a good enough value I think.
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You can also click on the Plot.ly curve legend at the bottom to toggle on and off the curves that you don't want to watch.
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They changed the input stimulus pattern ... and the outlet temperature has gone way higher than usual .... was 19 max, now 25C
Not only that, but the outlet temp rise preceeded the input power rise. See plot around 17:00 ... but my plot display is still a bit flakey,More tips for plot.ly : show it in "full screen" mode ... that gives an "embedded" display, which refreshes correctly.
If you only see the input power plot, click on it ... the others display. Click again on input power to re-enable it. -
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The important thing is that the presence of thermal inertia in the calorimeter means that the power output you're seeing at the present moment is the result of something that happened X minutes ago, where "X" is the time constant of the calorimeter. That means you don't really have an instantaneous power-out, which prevents any instantaneous power-out/power-in quasi-COP calculation from being possible. Instead what you end up having is a calculation that combines something a little bit like an instantaneous power-out from X minutes ago with the instantaneous power-in from right now, which is confusing, because the two values are not necessarily closely related.
Wot Eric said.
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rolling average of the instant COP
I think the calculation one would want is something like ((p-outt=1 + p-outt=0) / 2) / (p-int=1 + p-int=0) / 2) (with the constants canceling), where t1 is now, and (t1 - t0) is larger than the calorimeter constant. A further calculation over the "instantaneous" COP doesn't sound like a good idea.
ETA: Or much better, an average of all of the individual power in/out readings from t=0 to t=1 instead of point measurements at the endpoints of the timerange.
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Why the corresponding INSTANT COP declared is 1.0119 W
COP is not measured in Watts. It is measured in 'Ifs'.
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The instant COP and the rolling average of the instant COP (both calculated by me and from MFMP) seem to be slightly above 1.0x, but the cumulative energy COP is still less than 1. My Total Excess Energy calculation seems to match that provided by MFMP, so I believe it's correct.
LOL, me356 just has to stop electrical Power In for a couple of seconds (P-In = 0), then this results to an infinite COP (P-out / 0), and also the rolling average remains infinite for the next minutes... and those weirdos who just focus on instant and rolling average COP values get crazy ...
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Just don't expect to much from a ROSSI-like test setup-up with hidden details.
The Indians (ECCO) presented much more knowledge and details of their reactor. Their process is following the current knowledge of NiLi-H LENR fusion and is a far bigger promise, than what we can expect from this first test. I expected/hoped mfp would first go to India...
Currently the (me356) story looks like a free engineering support engagment with no payback...
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Wytte - whats with the quick rush to conclusions along with such a judgmental statement? Is MFMP using any of your time or nickels, pence or euros?
While everyone obviously has many more questions than answers that are available right now - I think this effort is pretty cool and that we should all be grateful
for the chance to watch this unfold. It is going to go where it is going to go.
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The instant COP and the rolling average of the instant COP (both calculated by me and from MFMP) seem to be slightly above 1.0x, but the cumulative energy COP is still less than 1. My Total Excess Energy calculation seems to match that provided by MFMP, so I believe it's correct.
The instantaneous/rolling average COP seems meaningless, because the Total Excess Energy is decreasing.
To avoid the start-up foo, would it be possible to reset TEE to zero at (say) 15:00 and display Total Cop as Total Output/Total Input from 15:00 on? -
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Again... What?
Let me understand...
I see the Calculate Output Power (calorimetry) value is 1024.11 W
Instant COP based on PCE total energy value = 1024.11/ 1191.68 = 0.859
Instant COP based on PA100 total energy value = 1024.11/ 1189.9 = 0.860
Why the corresponding INSTANT COP declared is 1.0119
W(it's about 17% overstimed)Something is wrong ! (or the INSTANT COP is not an instant COP)
@Henry, You are slightly confused on your COP calculations. You've accidentally calculated COP as Current Power Output / Total Energy Input. The calculation should be COP = Power Output / Power Input = 1024.11 W / 1011.2 W = 1.012
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To avoid the start-up foo, would it be possible to reset TEE to zero at (say) 15:00 and display Total Cop as Total Output/Total Input from 15:00 on?
Yes, it's possible on my side (see attached).
EDIT: but I see they've done some tests with the PCE-830 power analyzer, so that messed up measurements a bit in the past few minutes.
EDIT2: slightly updated graph.
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