Shane D. well done !
some comments below in blue.
"There are no experiments we can recommend with a guaranteed 100, 80, or even 50% chance of seeing an LENR effect. There is not a "top 3".
There are however, a number of high quality experiments, that when pursued with the resources available to TG, the cooperation of the authors, and comprehensive instructions, will give a high probability of success.
Yes, therefore we couln't exclude high XH both with high reproductibilty for some experiments.
To do that, the secret of success will be in risk's distribution.
The reverse question should be take in account too ? With Google currently didn't found results as expected ?
Because there is always an implicit leader or a soft consensus in a big team with a large budget.
Elun Musk wouldn't have succeeded in his so-called crazy projects if he had worked at NASA.
As on LF, it should to have a competition of ideas because everyone always thinks they are right and in good faith.
That's why I remain convinced that a big project including, full of smaller projects, would have much better chances of success.