Covid-19 News

is this the start of the next wave?

Govt warns of resurgence in covid as numbers spike

https://www.livemint.com/news/…nment-11613898642568.html

New Delhi: India is witnessing a resurgence of coronavirus. The worrying trend comes at a time when the pandemic appeared to be slowing in the country and globally.

With more than 13,919 cases in the past 24 hours, India’s active caseload hit 145,634 on Sunday, or 1.32% of the total positive cases. More than 74% of active cases are in Kerala and Maharashtra. Of late, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Punjab and Jammu and Kashmir have also seen a spike in daily cases.

Marc Wathelet is a virologist in Belgium who wrote a plan to eradicate Covid-19 in 6 weeks in Belgium

with the use of Ivermectin

you know trying to get scientists to

to agree it's like trying to herdcats

cats don't take to herdiing right so

each scientist you know thinks he's very

smart and that they understand the situation

and he reaches a certain conclusion he

will maybe stick to it

when they should be open and consider

you know other point of view and then

come to conclusion

https://trialsitenews.com/phar…in-is-made-available-otc/

Bulgaria adopts ivermectin

after study financed by Huvepharma

Coronavirus vaccines: signs of weaker response to new strains in South Africa, Brazil

Two mRNA shots less able to neutralise variant that emerged near Cape Town, Boston researchers find in non-peer-reviewed study

People should still get the jabs to guard against severe disease, virologist says

https://news.google.com/articl…=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US%3Aen

Coronavirus variants emerging from the southern hemisphere can weaken the most powerful vaccines but people should still have the shots to guard against severe disease, according to researchers. In a non-peer-reviewed study published last week, a team in Boston found a drop in the amount of the mutated South Africa strain neutralised by antibodies induced by the Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna vaccines of between 75 and 97-fold. The drop was 13-fold against another strain circulating in Brazil. “Strikingly, neutralisation of all three South African B.1.351 strains was substantially decreased,” the researchers said. Similar trends were reported by researchers in Germany and the US National Institutes of Health.

The lead scientist of the Boston study, Alejandro Balazs from the Ragon Institute of MGH, MIT, and Harvard, said authorities should monitor cases to “ensure that we have a clear view of which variants are responsible for new infections”. “I believe several companies have already announced that they would begin development of an updated booster shot,” Balazs said in the paper published on preprint platform medRxiv.

Quote from Fm1

In a non-peer-reviewed study published last week, a team in Boston found a drop in the amount of the muta

Pfizer knows this since more than 3 months now: You can directly monitor the date when you look at the timestamps where the mafia started it fake news propaganda e.g. just do one shot, can still neutralize (but 70x less)....

Also Israel data about efficiency of Pfitzer/Moderna comes down day after day now its at 89% but the RSA strain is spreading. So it will go down to 20-30% soon.

The 27-Year-Old Who Became a Covid-19 Data Superstar

https://www.bloomberg.com/news…-most-accurate-prediction

Spring 2020 brought with it the arrival of the celebrity statistical model. As the public tried to gauge how big a deal the coronavirus might be in March and April, it was pointed again and again to two forecasting systems: one built by Imperial College London, the other by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, or IHME, based in Seattle.

But the models yielded wildly divergent predictions. Imperial warned that the U.S. might see as many as 2 million Covid-19 deaths by the summer, while the IHME forecast was far more conservative, predicting about 60,000 deaths by August. Neither, it turned out, was very close. The U.S. ultimately reached about 160,000 deaths by the start of August.

The huge discrepancy in the forecasting figures that spring caught the attention of a then 26-year-old data scientist named Youyang Gu. The young man had a master’s degree in electrical engineering and computer science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and another degree in mathematics, but no formal training in a pandemic-related area such as medicine or epidemiology. Still, he thought his background dealing with data models could prove useful during the pandemic.

In mid-April, while he was living with his parents in Santa Clara, Calif., Gu spent a week building his own Covid death predictor and a website to display the morbid information. Before long, his model started producing more accurate results than those cooked up by institutions with hundreds of millions of dollars in funding and decades of experience.

“His model was the only one that seemed sane,” says Jeremy Howard, a renowned data expert and research scientist at the University of San Francisco. “The other models were shown to be nonsense time and again, and yet there was no introspection from the people publishing the forecasts or the journalists reporting on them. Peoples’ lives were depending on these things, and Youyang was the one person actually looking at the data and doing it properly.”

A little early to call but it looks like the next wave is beginning a slow roll. Should know by the end of week as we start approaching the the spring equinox. Read hope simpson!

Germany's COVID infections rise again

https://news.google.com/articl…=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US%3Aen

Coronavirus infection figures are heading back up, just as schools reopen in 10 of Germany's 16 states. The rise has been driven by new, more-infectious variants of the virus.

Coronavirus infection figures have started rising in Germany, prompting new fears ahead of a planned easing of restrictions.

The Robert Koch Institute (RKI), the country's disease control center, reported 7,676 new cases on Sunday, up 1,562 from one week ago. The key seven-day incidence rate increased to 60.2 across the country, up from 57.7 a day earlier.

Quote from Wyttenbach

Pfizer knows this since more than 3 months now: You can directly monitor the date when you look at the timestamps where the mafia started it fake news propaganda e.g. just do one shot, can still neutralize (but 70x less)....

Also Israel data about efficiency of Pfitzer/Moderna comes down day after day now its at 89% but the RSA strain is spreading. So it will go down to 20-30% soon.

I agree that efficiency will diminish over time but not from RSA strain, that will be a small factor. In the United States it looks more likely we had a Recombination event with b117 and CAL.20C, an antigen shift. New vaccines yearly , pandemic continues!

Quote from Fm1

New vaccines yearly

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

Instead of 20..40 pence for Ivermectin..........................................................................

Quote from zorud

Pfizer’s vaccine highly efficient, latest data from Israel show it also strongly prevents from virus transmission, which was so far unclear.

That's excellent news!

Let's hope it works with the latest viruses from the UK and South Africa. And let us hope the developed nations provide vaccines to everyone in the world. If that happens, the pandemic may be largely gone by the end of summer. The U.S. will soon ramp up to production levels high enough vaccinate its entire population with many vaccines to spare.

Quote from Wyttenbach

Pfizer knows this since more than 3 months now: You can directly monitor the date when you look at the timestamps where the mafia started it fake news propaganda e.g. just do one shot, can still neutralize (but 70x less)....

Also Israel data about efficiency of Pfitzer/Moderna comes down day after day now its at 89% but the RSA strain is spreading. So it will go down to 20-30% soon.

Thank goodness! That is a great relief to hear. Since you say it, I am sure it is exactly the opposite of the truth, and Pfizer and Moderna vaccines will work even better with the new strains than the present one.

Quote from Fm1

In mid-April, while he was living with his parents in Santa Clara, Calif., Gu spent a week building his own Covid death predictor and a website to display the morbid information. Before long, his model started producing more accurate results than those cooked up by institutions with hundreds of millions of dollars in funding and decades of experience.

“His model was the only one that seemed sane,” says Jeremy Howard, a renowned data expert and research scientist at the University of San Francisco. “The other models were shown to be nonsense time and again, and yet there was no introspection from the people publishing the forecasts or the journalists reporting on them. Peoples’ lives were depending on these things, and Youyang was the one person actually looking at the data and doing it properly.”

That seems unfair to me. The others are models, not predictions. They show three different curves, reflecting very different scenarios, such as with and without masks. They are not trying to predict how many people will actually get sick and die, but rather how many might die. They are warning people, not predicting. As Frank Herbert said, "the function of science fiction is not always to predict the future but sometimes to prevent it."

Quote from JedRothwell

Since you say it, I am sure it is exactly the opposite of the truth, and Pfizer and Moderna vaccines will work even better with the new strains than the present one.

You should not use your Mizuno posting style logic and promote false claims/details. Fm1 linked the reference above.

But I guess you prefer a drink over reading...

Quote from JedRothwell

Thank goodness! That is a great relief to hear. Since you say it, I am sure it is exactly the opposite of the truth, and Pfizer and Moderna vaccines will work even better with the new strains than the present one.

Jed I'm not sure you are keeping up. Wyttenbach has been about a week or two ahead of the latest headlines and has lead me to some interesting information just by checking his posts. He has also treated covid patients with success. Maybe you should research what he posts rather than reading headlines that are two weeks behind what really is going on.

Quote from Fm1

Jed I'm not sure you are keeping up. Wyttenbach has been about a week or two ahead of the latest headlines and has lead me to some interesting information just by checking his posts.

He is light years ahead of the headlines. They will never catch up. All legitimate sources of information say the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines work well with the new strains. No one says they are only 20 to 30% effective. He made that up. It is "interesting information" only in the sense some fantasies and delusions are interesting, but they tell us nothing about reality.

Ivermectin trial results

Israel ivermectin study

I'll post this again, it could be a whole new pandemic if this spreads

U.K. And California COVID Variants Combined To Create A Mutated Virus

https://my971tucson.iheart.com…o-create-a-mutated-virus/

National News

U.K. And California COVID Variants Combined To Create A Mutated Virus

By Bill Galluccio

Feb 18, 2021

Scientists have discovered a new coronavirus variant that is believed to be the result of two different strains merging together. According to a report by New Scientist, the hybrid virus was discovered by Bette Korber at the Los Alamos National Laboratory in New Mexico.

The new strain appears to be a combination of the B117 variant discovered in the United Kingdom and the B1429 variant that has caused a recent surge in coronavirus cases in Los Angeles. Korber is unsure if the mutated virus was a one-off or if it has been spreading from person-to-person.

Health officials believe it is the first time since the start of the pandemic that two strains of the virus have combined. While the virus has mutated multiple times, each mutation usually results in just a single change to the DNA of the virus. When two viruses combine their DNA, it could result in multiple mutations at once.

While scientists need to study the DNA of the mutated virus to determine the impact it will have, they said it contains mutations that appear to make it more transmissible and more resistant to antibodies.

“This kind of event could allow the virus to have coupled a more infectious virus with a more resistant virus,” Korber said.

That is an antigen shift!

you knew that was coming..